Full list. 199 DVD threshold, 227 BD.
2017 04/17 – 04/23 Anime DVD List
| Anime Rank | All Rank | Last Rank | Week Sales | Total Sales | #Wks | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 5,746 | 5,746 | 1 | Touken Ranbu: Hanamaru v4 | |
| 3 | 18 | 1,368 | 1,368 | 1 | Monster Strike The Movie: Hajimari no Basho e | |
| 4 | 20 | 1,236 | 1,236 | 1 | ACCA: 13-ku Kansatsu-ka v1 | |
| 7 | 40 | 615 | 615 | 1 | Kidou Senshi Gundam Tekketsu no Orphans Season 2 v5 | |
| 10 | 44 | 558 | 558 | 1 | Kidou Senshi Gundam Tekketsu no Orphans Season 2 v4 | |
| 11 | 47 | 6 | 522 | 4,195 | 2 | Haikyuu!!: Karasuno Koukou VS Shiratorizawa Gakuen Koukou v5 |
| 12 | 50 | 506 | 506 | 1 | Days v7 | |
| 13 | 51 | 496 | 496 | 1 | Hibike! Euphonium 2 v5 | |
| 14 | 53 | 45 | 488 | 93,248 | 145 | Tonari no Totoro (2014 re-release) |
| 15 | 56 | 465 | 465 | 1 | Kobayashi-san Chi no Maid Dragon v2 | |
| 16 | 67 | 83 | 412 | 18,771 | 24 | Meitantei Conan: Junkoku no Nightmare |
| 19 | 84 | 340 | 340 | 1 | Gangsta. v4 | |
| 20 | 85 | 70 | 335 | 2,425 | 3 | Crayon Shin-chan Movie DVD Box 1993-2016 |
| 21 | 92 | 320 | 320 | 1 | Magic-Kyun! Renaissance v5 | |
| 22 | 94 | 297 | 297 | 1 | Little Witch Academia v1 | |
| 23 | 98 | 275 | 2,414 | 2 | Yowamushi Pedal: New Generation v1 | |
| 25 | 259 | 259 | 1 | Meitantei Conan Part 25 v4 | ||
| 26 | 258 | 258 | 1 | Mahotsukai Precure! v13 | ||
| 27 | 245 | 245 | 1 | Mahotsukai Precure! v14 | ||
| 28 | 44 | 239 | 16,095 | 4 | Yuuri!!! on Ice v4 | |
| 29 | 209 | 41,690 | 143 | Majo no Takkyuubin (2014 re-release) | ||
| 30 | 92 | 199 | 6,968 | 5 | Uchuu Senkan Yamato 2202 v1 |
| Other releases (concerts etc) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10,020 | 10,020 | 1 | Haikyuu!!: Karasuno, Fukkatsu! (stage play) | ||
| 6 | 4,551 | 4,551 | 1 | Tenipri Festa 2016: Ikusa | ||
| 8 | 2,294 | 2,294 | 1 | LiVE is Smile Always -Never Ending Glory- at Yokohama Arena: The Moon | ||
| 11 | 2,216 | 2,216 | 1 | LiVE is Smile Always -Never Ending Glory- at Yokohama Arena: The Sun | ||
| 25 | 1,006 | 1,006 | 1 | Code Geass Hangyaku no Lelouch: Kiseki no Anniversary | ||
| 35 | 700 | 19,434 | 2 | Touken Ranbu: Kyoden Moeyuru Honnouji -Saien- (stage play) | ||
| 170 | 5,272 | 4 | Washizaki Takeshi 1st One Man Live |
2017 04/17 – 04/23 Anime BD List
| Anime Rank | All Rank | Last Rank | Week Sales | Total Sales | #Wks | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 6,987 | 6,987 | 1 | Touken Ranbu: Hanamaru v4 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5,754 | 5,754 | 1 | Hibike! Euphonium 2 v5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4,156 | 4,156 | 1 | Kidou Senshi Gundam Tekketsu no Orphans Season 2 v4 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4,043 | 4,043 | 1 | Kidou Senshi Gundam Tekketsu no Orphans Season 2 v5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3,075 | 3,075 | 1 | Kobayashi-san Chi no Maid Dragon v2 | |
| 6 | 13 | 2,997 | 2,997 | 1 | Little Witch Academia v1 | |
| 8 | 20 | 2,519 | 2,519 | 1 | Monster Strike The Movie: Hajimari no Basho e LE | |
| 9 | 21 | 2,436 | 2,436 | 1 | ACCA: 13-ku Kansatsu-ka v1 | |
| 10 | 24 | 1,629 | 1,629 | 1 | Show By Rock!!# v5 | |
| 11 | 32 | 1,024 | 1,024 | 1 | Long Riders! v4 | |
| 12 | 33 | 978 | 978 | 1 | Katekyou Hitman Reborn! BD Box v1 | |
| 15 | 43 | 700 | 700 | 1 | Magic-Kyun! Renaissance v5 | |
| 16 | 57 | 5 | 580 | 5,119 | 2 | Haikyuu!!: Karasuno Koukou VS Shiratorizawa Gakuen Koukou v5 |
| 17 | 49 | 533 | 533 | 1 | Gangsta. v4 | |
| 19 | 51 | 519 | 519 | 1 | Soushin Shoujo Matoi v2 | |
| 20 | 52 | 503 | 503 | 1 | Monster Strike The Movie: Hajimari no Basho e RE | |
| 57 | 27 | 414 | 40,480 | 4 | Yuuri!!! on Ice v4 | |
| 63 | 394 | 394 | 1 | Days v7 | ||
| 67 | 371 | 371 | 1 | Ai Mai Mii: Surgical Friends | ||
| 70 | 14 | 347 | 11,973 | 3 | Uta no Prince-sama Maji Love Legend Star v4 | |
| 71 | 153 | 319 | 7,045 | 15 | Meitantei Conan: Junkoku no Nightmare | |
| 72 | 47 | 317 | 19,277 | 5 | Uchuu Senkan Yamato 2202 v1 | |
| 78 | 299 | 299 | 1 | All Out!! v4 | ||
| 81 | 34 | 281 | 20,354 | 4 | Fate/Grand Order: First Order | |
| 89 | 52 | 265 | 42,546 | 9 | Yuuri!!! on Ice v3 | |
| 92 | 6 | 252 | 63,520 | 5 | Love Live! Sunshine!! v7 | |
| 95 | 232 | 232 | 1 | Udon no Kuni no Kin'iro Kemari v5 | ||
| 100 | 38 | 227 | 8,533 | 4 | Digimon Adventure tri. v4: Soushitsu |
| Other releases (concerts etc) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5,201 | 5,201 | 1 | LiVE is Smile Always -Never Ending Glory- at Yokohama Arena: The Moon | ||
| 5 | 5,014 | 5,014 | 1 | LiVE is Smile Always -Never Ending Glory- at Yokohama Arena: The Sun | ||
| 7 | 4,816 | 4,816 | 1 | Tenipri Festa 2016: Ikusa | ||
| 17 | 2,910 | 2,910 | 1 | Code Geass Hangyaku no Lelouch: Kiseki no Anniversary |
Winter update:
ACCA v1 sells 2436/1236, total 3,672. 37.0% under/46.1% overestimated. This is a great example of how hard the “high price penalty” can be to apply. Stalker’s predictions on BD were 1778 with the penalty (much too low) and 3,672 without the penalty (way way too high). Not applying the penalty is obviously incorrect, but the degree of penalty was too harsh. The DVDs meanwhile did not have the penalty, and were hugely overestimated. It’s a tricky balancing act.
LWA v1 sells 2997/297, total 3,294. 24.0%/42.9% overestimated. Looks like it was pretty Amazon-heavy. Sub-3k average is quite possible given that it’s 9 volumes long.
Ai Mai Mii s3 sells 371 BDs, DVDs do not rank. 23.0% overestimated. One shot release, so Series average: 371.
Maidragon v2 sells 3075/465, toal 3,540.
Yowapedal NG v1 adds 275 DVDs, total 4,119.
Fall update:
Tourabu v4 sells 6987/5746, total 12,733.
Euphonium s2 v5 sells 5754/496, total 6,250.
G Tekketsu s2 v4 sells 4156/558, total 4,714.
v5 sells 4043/615, total 4,658.
Show By Rock s2 v5 sells 1,629 BDs, DVDs do not rank.
Long Riders v4 sells 1,024 BD, DVDs do not rank.
Magic-kyun v5 sells 700/320, total 1,020.
Matoi v2, final volume, sells 519. BD-box release, singles also but they won’t rank. Series average: 537.
All Out v4 sells 299 BD, DVDs do not rank.
Udon no Kuni v5 sells 232 BD, DVDs do not rank.
YOI v3 adds 265 BDs, total 59,718.
v4 adds 414/239, total 56,575.
Utapri s4 v4 adds 347 BDs, total 17,286.
Haikyuu s3 v5, final volume, adds 580/522, total 9,314. Series average: 10,034. It’s gone 25,514 → 15,169 → 10,034 across three seasons, but at least it’s still a 9th 10k seller for 2016. That should be the last of 2016’s 10ks.
Past seasons:
Days v7 sells 394/506, total 900.
Gangsta v4 sells 533/340, total 873.
LL Sunshine v7 adds 252, total 63,520. With the first ticket application period over, it hitting a brick wall (it did >4k per week the two weeks before this) isn’t too unexpected. We’ll see what the second round brings in a few weeks.
OVAs, Movies, Boxsets etc:
Hitman Reborn BD Box v1 sells 978.
Fate/GO OVA adds 281 BDs, total 24,052.
Upcoming Releases for 2017 04/24 – 04/30
2017/04/26 3-gatsu no Lion v2
2017/04/26 Choujigen Game Neptune BD Box
2017/04/26 Demi-chan wa Kataritai v2
2017/04/26 Fuuka v2
2017/04/26 Gabriel Dropout v2
2017/04/26 Gintama. v1
2017/04/26 Girlish Number v5
2017/04/26 Granblue Fantasy The Animation v1
2017/04/26 Gun x Sword BD Box
2017/04/26 Idol Jihen v2
2017/04/26 Jojo no Kimyou na Bouken Diamond wa Kudakenai v11
2017/04/26 Kuzu no Honkai v2
2017/04/26 Lostorage incited WIXOSS v5
2017/04/26 Marginal#4: Kiss kara Tsukuru Big Bang v2
2017/04/26 Masamune-kun no Revenge v2
2017/04/26 Nanbaka v6
2017/04/26 Natsume Yuujin-chou Go v5
2017/04/26 Ore no Imouto ga Konna ni Kawaii Wake ga Nai. BD Box
2017/04/26 Pani Poni Dash! BD Box
2017/04/26 Rewrite Season 2 v1 (v8)
2017/04/26 Schoolgirl Strikers v2
2017/04/26 Shuumatsu no Izetta v5
2017/04/26 Urara Meirochou v2
2017/04/26 Withchblade (re-release)
2017/04/26 WWW.Working!! v6
2017/04/26 Youjo Senki v1
2017/04/28 Brave Witches v3
2017/04/28 Bungou Stray Dogs Season 2 v5 (v11)
2017/04/28 ChäoS;Child v2
2017/04/28 Classicaloid v4
2017/04/28 Idol Memories v2
2017/04/28 Kono Subarashii Sekai ni Shukufuku wo! 2 v2
2017/04/28 Koro-sensei Q! v1
2017/04/28 Omoide no Anime Library v68
2017/04/28 Omoide no Anime Library v69
2017/04/28 Pripara Season 2 BD Box v2
2017/04/28 Shakunetsu no Takkyuu Musume v5
2017/04/28 Super Lovers 2 v2
2017/04/28 Teekyuu BD Box (Seasons 1-8)
2017/04/28 Trinity Seven: Yuukyuu Toshokan to Rekinjutsu Shoujo
2017/04/28 Yuuri!!! on Ice v5
Winter starts a few more series, the end of the quarter brings some random BD box spam, and Spring starts via by far its biggest title: a shipment of mobage app codes. …Also they have BDs packaged with them I guess.
Is there any chance that YOI sales can boost a little bit?
What is a high price penalty?
When a DVD/BD has a price over ¥10,000, Stalker applies a penalty to the number of “points” (i.e. estimated sales) it accrues each day. The reason for this is twofold:
1) Amazon seems to weigh price into its rankings, so if Disc A is ¥6k and sells 100 units, but Disc B is s2k and sells 100 units, Disc B will rank notably higher.
2) Amazon tends to have the best discounts, which really adds up when you have a more expensive item, which in theory means people are more likely to buy that disc at Amazon.
Since Stalker’s Amazon-based estimates get skewed if Amazon makes up an unusually high proportion of sales, or if the ranking is inflated, it needs to adjust these releases’ estimates downward so as not to overestimate them so heavily.
Stalker does tend to overcorrect however, and ends up underestimating releases with the high price penalty more often than not, sometimes significantly. But I do think this is preferable to overestimating them, so while the formula could use some tweaking, it’s better than the alternative.