Anime DVD/BD Sales in Japan

24 Responses to “2015 11/09 – 11/15 Weekly Sales List”

1. Yanagaida says:

   November 17, 2015 at 4:12 AM

   The strange thing is that World Trigger ssold out in amazon.

   Reply
   • Ejc says:

     November 17, 2015 at 4:27 AM

     What are you talking about? It’s in stock at Amazon:
     http://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B010PQN5CI/

     1st week sales seem in line with previous volumes, so don’t think there is any stock issues anywhere else.

     ○ワールドトリガー 【全 巻】
     巻数　　　初動　　　　　2週計　　　 発売日
     　　　　　BD(DVD)　　　BD(DVD)
     01巻　*,767(*,583)　1,232(*,***)　15.03.13 ※合計 1,815枚
     02巻　*,854(*,414)　1,095(*,***)　15.04.08 ※合計 1,509枚
     03巻　*,963(*,445)　1,136(*,***)　15.05.13 ※合計 1,581枚
     04巻　1,024(*,442)　*,***(*,***)　15.06.10 ※合計 1,466枚
     05巻　1,155(*,468)　*,***(*,***)　15.07.08 ※合計 1,623枚
     06巻　1,035(*,417)　*,***(*,***)　15.08.05 ※合計 1,452枚
     07巻　*,996(*,406)　*,***(*,***)　15.09.09 ※合計 1,402枚
     08巻　*,984(*,399)　*,***(*,***)　15.10.07 ※合計 1,383枚
     09巻　*,818(*,352)　*,***(*,***)　15.11.11

     Reply
     • Yanagaida says:

       November 17, 2015 at 4:58 AM

       Right now yes. But for 2-3 days it was sold out.

       Reply
       • Ejc says:

         November 17, 2015 at 5:10 AM

         As I said, the 1st week sales are in line with previous volumes. Did this particular volume have a highly sought out bonus bundled? If it didn’t, then this 2-3 days “stock outage” is probably minuscule.

         Reply
2. fourteenwings says:

   November 17, 2015 at 7:04 AM

   Slow week.

   That first volume of Hetalia will just not let go though.

   K drop is sad, because it would have been a lot of fun to have another season to explore the lore. It makes sense though because this season has been quite slow with everything.

   Reply
   • NukaCola says:

     November 17, 2015 at 2:28 PM

     K has so much merch and other media though. Does it really need outstanding bd sales to remain viable?

     Reply
     • something says:

       November 17, 2015 at 5:22 PM

       No, but “remaining viable as a franchise” and “getting more anime seasons” aren’t necessarily synonymous. It may do just as well with manga and live events and drama CDs and whatever else its fans enjoy without requiring the expense and risk of a full TV anime adaptation that’s unlikely do do better than mediocre disc sales.

       But as always, there are countless hidden factors in play in these decisions.

       Reply
3. Anon says:

   November 17, 2015 at 10:41 AM

   Oh wow, Cyborg 009 vs Devilman did better than both RGZ and Plus despite receiving barely any advertisement at all. 2000+ copies in this day and age for a Go Nagai anime? Madness! Well, I guess Cyborg 009 obviously helped to boost sales up a bit.

   There is no need to turn Devilman into moe now, like they did with Mazinger.

   Reply
   • something says:

     November 17, 2015 at 11:43 AM

     It’s really not an either/or thing. You can have both.

     Reply
4. hiteis says:

   November 17, 2015 at 11:27 AM

   Hi, are there any rough estimates for Rakudai Kishi and Asterisk War?

   Thanks for your answers!

   .

   Reply
   • something says:

     November 17, 2015 at 11:48 AM

     Low for both. Stalker’s current estimates are 1,746 for Asterisk and 2,718 for Rakudai Kishi. As usual, it’s not uncommon for that to swing 30% in either direction (sometimes more) depending on how biased their sales are for or against Amazon Japan.

     Reply
     • hiteis says:

       November 17, 2015 at 1:43 PM

       Thanks!! If you have a little bit more time, what are the current estimates for Valkyrie Drive, Owari no Seraph, Testament Burst, Sakurako-san and Anti-Magic Akademy? :)

       .

       Reply
5. primadog says:

   November 17, 2015 at 9:43 PM

   I remember reading from one of torisunanohokori’s research that sequel drop averages around 30%, but I can’t find the article right now. It might be anecdotal, but had recent drops of reboots/sequels seems atypically severe? Would that indicate the industry’s recent bout of belated sequels haven’t pay off?

   Reply
   • Ejc says:

     November 17, 2015 at 11:09 PM

     I also looked at the figures last year, but stopped updating it in April 2015:
     http://myanimelist.net/forum/?topicid=1299713

     From a sample size of 110 TV Anime, 23 (20.91%) saw increases in sales, while 87 (79.09%) experienced drops in sales. From the 87 TV Anime to experience drops in sales, 30~35% drop seems to be the norm.

     Season 1 → Season 2:
     Drop Range / Distribution
     *0.1%~*9.9%: *5/87 (*5.7%)
     10.0%~19.9%: 17/87 (19.5%)
     20.0%~29.9%: 14/87 (16.1%)
     30.0%~39.9%: 20/87 (23.0%)
     40.0%~49.9%: 12/87 (13.8%)
     50.0%~59.9%: 12/87 (13.8%)
     60.0%~69.9%: *5/87 (*5.7%)
     70.0%~79.9%: *0/87 (*0.0%)
     80.0%~89.9%: *2/87 (*2.3%)
     90.0%~99.9%: *1/87 (*1.3%)
     Median: 32.5% drop
     Average: 34.3% drop
     Std Dev: 18.3%

     Reply
   • Ejc says:

     November 17, 2015 at 11:13 PM

     Something else that’s interesting is the number of TV Anime now airing per year. I just think the anime market is so saturated, that only the middle/upper tier of anime will see increases in sales. Many will see moderate to severe drops in sales, since buyers are just so spread out nowadays.

     ○TVアニメ本数の推移 1990年以降
     1990　*50
     1991　*39
     1992　*62
     1993　*30
     1994　*38
     1995　*40
     1996　*46
     1997　*50
     1998　*82
     1999　*89
     2000　*64
     2001　*95
     2002　*95
     2003　111
     2004　128
     2005　127
     2006　181
     2007　159
     2008　147
     2009　146
     2010　130
     2011　138
     2012　155
     2013　187
     2014　210

     Reply
     • primadog says:

       November 18, 2015 at 12:39 AM

       AJA’s tv anime count shows the same trend but slightly higher overall count:

       http://imgur.com/vypZ4du

       I think that’s because your list didn’t include some kids programming that AJA counted, but I haven’t checked:

       http://aja.gr.jp/?wpdmdl=739

       Reply
       • Hahalollawl says:

         November 18, 2015 at 3:24 AM

         If you were to try to guess though, would you say its a timing issue (are the recent sequels later?) or saturation issue?

         I’m not sure if I can back it up with data, but to me, it seems like the more time that has passed since a sequel, the more likely it is to have a significant drop. Maybe that’s totally wrong or not provable, but that’s the sense I’ve gotten. The number of series may be a factor too, but IDK. Seems like you’d have to lose a significant amount of interest/affection towards it to not buy the sequel, which seems like what would happen if either you don’t like the sequel or its been a long time and you’ve lost interest or don’t like it as much anymore.

         Reply
         • primadog says:

           November 18, 2015 at 4:55 AM

           Saturation would saw a more generalized effect, and averages should drop across the board. Averages has dropped, but not enough to explain the entire sequel drop issue. I think timing is a significant factor. Some franchises are simply past their prime. But we really can’t say anything definitive without research and data crunching (pokes torisunanohokori).

           Another possibility, belated sequels are by definition series that weren’t first pick for continuation, so when they do get continuations they predictably perform worse financially. The second crop aren’t worth as much as the first. We saw an similar “tapping out” effect before whenever anime found a new medium as source material, like light novels, visual novels, 4komas, and the coming web novel wave. The top of the genre gets adaptions first and become predicable hits, then the remainder finds less and less success.

           Reply
           • something says:

             November 18, 2015 at 2:52 PM

             The other thing we should consider is how many of us were even paying really close attention to sales more than a few years ago? I started doing this over 6 years ago, but only intensely enough to really notice these things maybe 4 or less years ago. And it happens that a number of titles I care about have encountered this, so I’m naturally going to make a bigger deal out of those.

             It’d still be interesting to crunch the numbers but it could just be a matter of perspective.

             Reply
           • torisunanohokori says:

             November 19, 2015 at 8:42 PM

             I do think oversaturation is potentially an issue, but I don’t think it’s manifesting via enhanced sequel drops. What we’ve seen through the first 3 quarters of 2015 doesn’t really mesh with that notion.

             When I measured the distribution of drop-off percentages, excluding reboots that changed around the main cast or staff, it was about 20%±31%. We could use Ejc’s figure of 34±18% too. Either way a 50%+ drop would be the threshold for abnormality.

             Excluding Nagato Yuki-chan, Aquarion Logos, and Deremas, I count have a total of 30 sequels that aired through the first 3 quarters of 2015. Of those, only 5 experienced abnormally large drops:

             Danna ga Nani wo Itteiru ka Wakaranai Ken 2 Sure-me
             Durarara!! x2 Shou
             Gatchaman Crowds: Insight
             Junjou Romantica 3
             Working!!!

             Insight is a highly irregular case, since it went from an s1 box release format to singles for s2. Even including that, though, there are exactly 5/30=1/6 shows in that abnormal range, or 16.66% of the total. That is *exactly* how much of the total you’d expect one tail of a standard deviation to have. Not really an exceptional year in that regard.

             3 of those 5 are series are sequels that took more than 3+ years to get made, pretty strongly corroborating the idea that those delays hurt.

             What I think might be happening instead is a predisposition towards bigger hits (stuff like the UtaPri/LL/Symphogear sequel bumps) and less room in the mid-tier market, plus a tougher environment for newer shows to break into. For example, only 4/10 10k shows aired in 2015 were from franchises new to animation. That’s counting Deremas, and assuming Overlord holds up over the next 4 volumes. Right now we’re looking at, what, Osomatsu/Owarimonogatari as the shoo-ins for fall? So we might end up with 5/12. Contrast that with 7/12 from 2014, 7/13 from 2013, 9/14 from 2012, 11/15 from 2011. That’s been a consistent downward trend which seems to indicate a more sequel-dominated top of the market (at least as far as disk sales go).

             Reply
6. something says:

   November 19, 2015 at 8:54 PM

   Updated for the full list.

   Reply
7. Ejc says:

   November 19, 2015 at 10:27 PM

   “サウンドスキャン・ジャパンのランキング更新は終了致しました。
   長きにわたりご愛読いただき誠に有り難うございました。”

   http://www.phileweb.com/ranking/cd-top20/

   Phile Web has now ceased posting the Soundscan numbers, so if Oricon screws up and does not fix their mistakes, then we have no other numbers to fall back on. That’s assuming some other place doesn’t pop-up for the Soundscan numbers.

   Reply
   • something says:

     November 19, 2015 at 11:23 PM

     Well, I guess the only time we’ve used them (long-term) is G Reco v1 but it’s still a shame to see one less source.

     Reply
8. something says:

   November 21, 2015 at 1:29 PM

   Checked the extended rankings for this week. About 40 DVDs and 90 BDs were new or added a week of ranking.

   Updated volume 1s
   13,321 – Overlord
   9,654 – Charlotte
   7,150 – Prison School
   6,884 – TLR Darkness s2
   1,073 – Robot Girls Z Plus

   Updated averages for finished shows
   10,019 – Kimiuso
   1,073 – Robot Girls Z Plus

   Updated BD boxes/re-releases
   n/a

   Updated films/OVAs/etc
   8,691 – Haikyuu recap movie
   8,446 – Kyoukai no Kanata movie 2
   1,667 – Wake Up Girls movie 2

    

   Reply