02
Mar

2021 Winter Vol 1 Rankings
Please note: Volume 1 sales are not the best, or even a particularly good, way to evaluate a series’ performance. Sometimes one of two formats doesn’t rank in volume 1, but ranks in a later volume. Often times volume 1 sales are inflated with bonuses like event tickets or bundled manga, etc. Always, always use the average sales when evaluating anime, not volume 1 sales. I only provide these because it takes many months before we have a final average and people like to be able to ballpark a season early on. Just be intelligent about it!

Updated as of 2021-07-28

Sales #Weeks Title Release Date Formats Partial Ranking
191,653 9 Uma Musume: Pretty Derby Season 2 2021/05/26 BD
8,928 4 SK∞ the Infinity 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
6,250 2 Yurucamp Season 2 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
4,763 1 Re:Zero kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu 2nd Season Part 2 2021/04/28 BD/DVD
4,594 1 Tensei shitara Slime Datta Ken 2nd Season 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
4,385 1 Mushoku Tensei: Isekai Ittara Honki Dasu 2021/04/21 BD
4,334 2 Azur Lane: Bisoku Zenshin! 2021/05/12 BD
3,740 3 Horimiya 2021/02/24 BD/DVD
3,493 1 Gotoubun no Hanayome Season 2 2021/03/17 BD/DVD
3,108 1 Shingeki no Kyojin The Final Season 2021/07/07 BD/DVD
3,015 1 Kaifuku Jutsushi no Yarinaoshi 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
2,552 1 Non Non Biyori Nonstop 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
1,360 1 Hataraku Saibou!! 2021/02/03 BD/DVD
1,289 1 Bungou Stray Dogs Wan! 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
1,104 1 Show By Rock!! Stars!! 2021/03/17 BD
1,090 1 Log Horizon: Entaku Houkai 2021/06/11 BD-Box/DVD-Box
962 1 Wonder Egg Priority 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
960 1 Kumo Desu ga, Nani ka? 2021/04/28 BD/DVD Yes
773 1 Jaku-Chara Tomozaki-kun 2021/03/03 BD/DVD
578 1 Hataraku Saibou Black 2021/02/24 BD/DVD
371 1 I Chu: Halfway Through the Idol 2021/03/24 DVD
338 1 Dr. Stone 2nd Season 2021/05/26 BD-Box/DVD-Box Yes
324 1 Yakusoku no Neverland 2nd Season 2021/04/07 BD/DVD
292 1 2.43: Seiin Koukou Danshi Volley-bu 2021/04/28 BD Yes
288 1 Tatoeba Last Dungeon Mae no Mura no Shounen ga Joban no Machi de Kurasu Youna Monogatari 2021/03/26 BD
245 1 Hortensia Saga 2021/03/17 BD/DVD
244 1 Kemono Jihen 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
191 1 Gekidol 2021/03/03 BD-Box
164 1 Tenchi Souzou Design-bu 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
153 1 Wave!! Surfing Yappe!! 2021/03/17 BD/DVD Yes
111 1 Soukou Musume Senki 2021/03/31 BD
Back Arrow 2021/04/28 BD/DVD
Idoly Pride 2021/04/30 BD/DVD
Kai Byoui Ramune 2021/03/10 BD
Majutsushi Orphen Hagure Tabi 2021/05/07 BD-Box/DVD-Box
Ore dake Haireru Kakushi Dungeon 2021/04/28 BD
Project Scard: Praeter no Kizu 2021/04/28 BD/DVD
Shin Chuuka Ichiban! 2nd Season 2021/04/28 BD-Box
Skate-Leading Stars 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
Urasekai Picnic 2021/05/26 BD
Upcoming Releases
World Witches Hasshin Shimasu! 2021/08/25 BD/DVD
Nanatsu no Taizai: Fundo no Shinpan 2021/09/15 BD/DVD

Notes
Partial Ranking means a release came out on more than one video format, but only one of the two ranked.

Season-specific notes
n/a

Vol. 1 Unranked, Later Vol. Ranked
n/a

69 Responses to “2021 Winter Seasonal Vol 1 Rankings”

  1. Ryan says:

    What do you think the tail for Uma Musume sales will be like? It was roughly 4k added this week, right?

    • something says:

      So far it’s sold:
      WK1: 112,030
      WK2: 55,123 (-51%, astonishingly good; I checked all discs from 2015-present with a 5k or better wk1, and this is the 4th best wk1→2 drop, and it did it against a monstrous, historic wk1)
      WK3: 8,069 (-85%, one of the biggest wk2→3 drops but after that insane wk2, not shocking)
      WK4: 4,743 (-41%, right around the median wk3→4 drop)

      I’m expecting the tail to be very long but within a few weeks it’ll be down to adding a couple hundred each week, not thousands, unless something unusual happens.

      • Ryan says:

        Do you think it will be adding similar numbers on a weekly basis to Granblue or do you think it would do better? And do you think the tail will be as long?

        • something says:

          All of these super long tail series settle in around like 100-400 a week eventually, it’s just a matter of how long it takes to drop down to that level. UM2 will probably put up slightly higher numbers for a little longer than Granblue but whether it ranks as many weeks overall, I can’t predict. Mostly depends on how long the game codes are good for. If there’s a limit on when you can use them, I’d expect the trickle of extra sales to fade around then.

          • Ryan says:

            That makes sense. So quality of the title will probably have a very limited impact on the tail in situations like this where codes are driving the long term sales? I wonder if Uma will benefit from the relatively short time the game has been out compared to GBF. If it has more room for the playerbase to grow, it seems like that could help out some but I’m not sure how saturated it is right now. Considering how popular it is, I wonder how much of the population it would appeal to that it hasn’t reached yet.

            • something says:

              Quality is too subjective, but we could perhaps substitute “popularity” (not that that’s particularly easy to measure either). Even then, I’d say popularity isn’t inherently going to predict sales success. Your show has to be popular in a certain type of way, with the certain type of fan who is still inclined to buy physical media in 2021. And since very few of those disc-buying fans exist even for late-night shows these days, it’s much more fruitful to appeal to your audience with bonuses they can’t otherwise get, like Uma Musume’s game and live event codes.

              Without any bonuses, Uma Musmume being perceived as a really “good” show by its fanbase might have normally earned the first season, I dunno, maybe 10k? It’s not that it’s impossible for a series to put up huge numbers without being primarily driven by extras, but then it’s almost mandatory that they reach a degree of pseudo-mainstream cultural relevance (e.g. Yuuri on Ice or Mahou Shoujo Madoka Magica) that just isn’t an option for most late-night shows. The second season seems like it’s attained some of that broader relevance and notoriety thanks to the hugely successful mobage, so I think it could have done quite well even without the bonuses… but nothing remotely like what it’s doing now.

              As for the long tail specifically, that’ll be a mix of the lingering usefulness of its bonuses and the popularity of the overall franchise. If the mobage stays big, that may entice people who only know the series through the game to buy the anime, but I suspect most such people will watch it on streaming services instead. Most people need a pretty good reason to spend hundreds of dollars to watch something if it’s already on a streaming service, especially if they’re not habitual BD buyers.

          • Ryan says:

            Also, I meant to ask but when will sales info for volume 2 come out? I’m really interested in seeing how much it drops from week 1 of the 1st volume.

            • something says:

              Vol. 2 came out yesterday (June 23) so data will be out next week.

              • Axl says:

                wth they actually beat the first volume record?????

                • something says:

                  It’s going to be far more front-loaded than volume one. In other words, don’t expect 50k next week like vol 1 did, and I still fully expect vol 1 to have higher lifetime sales (It’s at 184,803 wk5, I’ll be updating this post a little later).

                  Nonetheless, the fact that it’s [i]not[/i] going to see a significant drop means that the event ticket was not a big factor in vol 1’s sales, which means we can expect sales to stay relatively consistent across all four volumes because it’s moreso the codes driving sales, and they’re in all four volumes and… yeah. Absolutely insane.

                  • scineram says:

                    The HYPETRAIN has left the station, we are doubling Bakemonogatari. Choo Choo!!

                    You should really watch this on day, the sequel that sent us all crazy.

    • Kadir says:

      I don’t understand why this series is selling so well, what’s going on in Japan…

  2. Ryan says:

    So was that another 3k or so for Uma Musume V1? And is there any info for V2?

    • something says:

      Vol 1: 187,320 (112,030 → 55,123 → 8,069 → 4,743 → 4,838 → 2,517)
      Vol 2: 159,126 (150,390 → 8,736)

      Naturally the completely ridiculous increase from v1wk1 to v2wk1 was just extreme front-loading, given the radically different wk2 numbers.

      • Ryan says:

        I’m surprised the second volume numbers are as close tp the first volume numbers in the same time period as they are. I guess the tickets might not be driving sales as much as I thought.

        • something says:

          Yeah, the event ticket wasn’t a big factor, so it’s pretty safe to put most of the explanation behind the game codes. As of right now, v2 is only 15% behind v1, which would be a great hold even under normal circumstances, and it’ll probably be closer to 13% after next week.

  3. Ryan says:

    Uma Musume V1 seems to keep charting with fairly high sales. How has V2 been doing? And where do you go to find release dates for the different volumes? I was looking to find out when V3 and V4 release.

    • something says:

      I just get the release dates from online retailers. Primarily I use Rakuten: https://books.rakuten.co.jp
      You can also check the Per-Volume sales page for the corresponding year: https://www.someanithing.com/12305
      It’s a standard monthly release so Vol 3 is 2021/07/21 and Vol 4 is 2021/08/18.

      As for the sales thus far:
      Vol 1: 190,373 (112,030 → 55,123 → 8,069 → 4,743 → 4,838 → 2,517 → 1,767 → 1,286)
      Vol 2: 164,217 (150,390 → 8,736 → 3,014 → 2,077)

      At this point it seems pretty much guaranteed Vol 1 will hit the 200k mark.

      • Ryan says:

        Thanks for letting me know about the per volume page. I wonder if V3 will have week 1 sales closer to V1 or V2.

        • something says:

          Probably closer to v2, assuming stock meets demand like it did for v2. Given its wk2 sales, v1 would have sold much more wk1 if it weren’t somewhat supply constrained.

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