02
Mar

2021 Winter Vol 1 Rankings
Please note: Volume 1 sales are not the best, or even a particularly good, way to evaluate a series’ performance. Sometimes one of two formats doesn’t rank in volume 1, but ranks in a later volume. Often times volume 1 sales are inflated with bonuses like event tickets or bundled manga, etc. Always, always use the average sales when evaluating anime, not volume 1 sales. I only provide these because it takes many months before we have a final average and people like to be able to ballpark a season early on. Just be intelligent about it!

Updated as of 2021-06-15

Sales #Weeks Title Release Date Formats Partial Ranking
175,222 3 Uma Musume: Pretty Derby Season 2 2021/05/26 BD
8,928 4 SK∞ the Infinity 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
6,250 2 Yurucamp Season 2 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
4,763 1 Re:Zero kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu 2nd Season Part 2 2021/04/28 BD/DVD
4,594 1 Tensei shitara Slime Datta Ken 2nd Season 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
4,385 1 Mushoku Tensei: Isekai Ittara Honki Dasu 2021/04/21 BD
4,334 2 Azur Lane: Bisoku Zenshin! 2021/05/12 BD
3,740 3 Horimiya 2021/02/24 BD/DVD
3,493 1 Gotoubun no Hanayome Season 2 2021/03/17 BD/DVD
3,015 1 Kaifuku Jutsushi no Yarinaoshi 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
2,552 1 Non Non Biyori Nonstop 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
1,360 1 Hataraku Saibou!! 2021/02/03 BD/DVD
1,289 1 Bungou Stray Dogs Wan! 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
1,104 1 Show By Rock!! Stars!! 2021/03/17 BD
1,090 1 Log Horizon: Entaku Houkai 2021/06/11 BD-Box/DVD-Box
962 1 Wonder Egg Priority 2021/03/24 BD/DVD
960 1 Kumo Desu ga, Nani ka? 2021/04/28 BD/DVD Yes
773 1 Jaku-Chara Tomozaki-kun 2021/03/03 BD/DVD
578 1 Hataraku Saibou Black 2021/02/24 BD/DVD
371 1 I Chu: Halfway Through the Idol 2021/03/24 DVD
338 1 Dr. Stone 2nd Season 2021/05/26 BD-Box/DVD-Box Yes
324 1 Yakusoku no Neverland 2nd Season 2021/04/07 BD/DVD
292 1 2.43: Seiin Koukou Danshi Volley-bu 2021/04/28 BD Yes
288 1 Tatoeba Last Dungeon Mae no Mura no Shounen ga Joban no Machi de Kurasu Youna Monogatari 2021/03/26 BD
245 1 Hortensia Saga 2021/03/17 BD/DVD
244 1 Kemono Jihen 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
191 1 Gekidol 2021/03/03 BD-Box
164 1 Tenchi Souzou Design-bu 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
153 1 Wave!! Surfing Yappe!! 2021/03/17 BD/DVD Yes
111 1 Soukou Musume Senki 2021/03/31 BD
Back Arrow 2021/04/28 BD/DVD
Idoly Pride 2021/04/30 BD/DVD
Kai Byoui Ramune 2021/03/10 BD
Majutsushi Orphen Hagure Tabi 2021/05/07 BD-Box/DVD-Box
Ore dake Haireru Kakushi Dungeon 2021/04/28 BD
Project Scard: Praeter no Kizu 2021/04/28 BD/DVD
Shin Chuuka Ichiban! 2nd Season 2021/04/28 BD-Box
Skate-Leading Stars 2021/03/26 BD/DVD
Urasekai Picnic 2021/05/26 BD
Upcoming Releases
World Witches Hasshin Shimasu! 2021/08/25 BD/DVD
Nanatsu no Taizai: Fundo no Shinpan 2021/09/15 BD/DVD

Notes
Partial Ranking means a release came out on more than one video format, but only one of the two ranked.

Season-specific notes
n/a

Vol. 1 Unranked, Later Vol. Ranked
n/a

49 Responses to “2021 Winter Seasonal Vol 1 Rankings”

  1. scineram says:

    Do you know of any projections for Uma Musume 2? I was hoping it does at least somewhat close to the original. How many volumes is it this time?

    • Chirumiru says:

      4 releases for this second season

    • something says:

      Impossible to say. While Pripri does exist as a replacement for Amazon Ranking Stalker, there are a lot of factors that make it essentially useless for estimating Ume Musume s2’s sales.
      • most of its estimated points are on the Amazon store-exclusive version, which usually results in heavily overestimating real sales
      • it’s spent a lot of time at #1, which always screws with estimate accuracy
      • the estimate has fluctuated wildly, going as high as about 140,000 (which is clearly ridiculous) at times
      • it’s constantly going in and out of stock for preorder, so sales come in bursts that also screw with its ranking

      The first season sold very well based in large part on the inclusion of codes for Granblue Fantasy. Season two does not have those, but it does include codes for the finally released Uma Musume mobage. With the game being very new and the top-grossing app in Japan almost every day since its release, this might actually be more powerful than Granblue codes. Those have been available in a lot of shows’ releases, whereas Uma Musume’s codes are just in its own BDs. So I think it could have some pretty phenomenal sales, but whether that’s 15k or 50k I could not guess. Season one sold 21,404 vol 1 and 18,235 average.

      It’s 4 volumes, like season one.

      • scineram says:

        Thanks a lot! Fingers crossed then.

      • scineram says:

        So, I see different numbers for the 4 volumes here. https://www.someanithing.com/8934

        So it should be ahead of Zombeland Saga here. Guess that page was not updated? https://www.someanithing.com/1

        Here it’s correct however. https://www.someanithing.com/8932

        • something says:

          For Uma Musume? Yeah, the first season’s volumes have started ranking again over the past few weeks. First just Vol 4, but then this past week all four volumes ranked, filling in a lot of previously unseen data and bumping the average up considerably. Since they’re from way back in 2018, I went ahead and updated the 2018 per-volume and averages posts separately, because I wouldn’t normally be updating them anymore and didn’t want to forget about it. I’ll update the full set of posts next time I do my usual monthly-ish update (probably in a week and a half).

          • scineram says:

            Ah, wow! I would have never expected those numbers to be brand new data, ranking after almost 3 years.

            • something says:

              If I’m reading the description right, at some point the serial codes for Granblue Fantasy that they included were extended to work through 2022 instead of the end of 2020, so I guess that plus the second season airing bumped the original again.

      • scineram says:

        Holy shit! Just stunned. I wonder how the other volumes will do now. If they sell just 40k we have a 60k average. Few volumes will help out here.

        “going as high as about 140,000 (which is clearly ridiculous) at times”

        lmao

        • something says:

          It’ll presumably drop more than Cygames’ other heavily code-boosted series (there’s also an event-related bonus in vol 1), but those tends to be pretty stable. And like most of them, Uma Musume s2 has an additional bonus for buying all foun volumes.
          Below are the relevant series with drop in sales between the first volume and the lowest-selling volume:

          n/a % – Manaria Friends (only 2 vols, v2 sold slightly more than v1)
          23.5% – Uma Musume: Pretty Derby
          29.2% – Granblue Fantasy
          35.3% – Granblue Fantasy Season 2
          37.8% – Princess Connect! Re:Dive

          So let’s say Uma Musume s2 has lifetime sales of at least 135k (80% wk1, 20% wk2+), which could easily be a conservative estimate unless its badly supply constrained.
          If the other four volumes dropped significantly harder than any of the comparable series and averaged 50% below vol 1’s sales (which would mean the lowest volume dropping even more than 50%), they’d each do 67.5k.
          And the average would be 84k, easily surpassing Bakemonogatari.

          It’ll have to see a very large drop to average less than Bake, and the only way that’s happening is if the event ticket lottery/digital viewing code in vol. 1 is moving the large majority of its sales, rather than the game codes. We’ll see!

  2. Changeman says:

    kaifuku sold more than i expected. The author mentioned that more than 1000 units that cost more than 25,000 yen have been sold.

  3. Changeman says:

    SK selling well. Will there be a sequel?

  4. Changeman says:

    Has there been any change in sales for Kaifuku vol 1?

    • something says:

      No new data. It didn’t rank in its second or third weeks. That means it sold less than 124 DVDs and the two BD editions each sold less than 390 discs in week two.

      • Changeman says:

        In your opinion, are there chances that SK = vol 1 will be able to surpass 10,000 copies sold of BD?

        • something says:

          It’ll definitely ship that many, the question is whether the weekly ranking thresholds will be low enough for us to actually see it. Might need three more weeks, depending on which formats continue to rank.

  5. Changeman says:

    Any forecast for the next update with volume 2 of the series?

  6. Someone says:

    How about hanyou yashahime ?

  7. something says:

    lol Uma Musume

    • Changeman says:

      I read estimates that could sell that number of copies, but I thought it was bullshit.

      • something says:

        In 999 out of 1000 cases it would be bullshit, and for this release in particular there were a lot of signs that would normally point to massive overestimation.

        But sometimes when a release ranks at #1 all the time, it really is selling thousands of copies a day. And this happened to be one of those cases. It’s truly wild, because normally this only possible for major films.

        I only really started to think that it could do something crazy when it easily held off the Kimetsu no Yaiba movie at Amazon and stayed at #1, but even then I never would have dared guess anything near 100k.

  8. Changeman says:

    I honestly thought it would be a maximum of 25,000 or 30,000 copies. Selling all this in BD is absurd nowadays. Taking into account that this year we will still have the release of films like Kimetsu no Yaba, Violet and Gintama and it seems to have some promising series appearing, probably this year will be good for the BD industry.

    • something says:

      I don’t think it’ll help the industry as a whole that much. Even a couple releases selling super well just isn’t enough to turn things around meaningfully.
      I dp suppose it’s possible for 2021 to end up bigger than 2020 at least, but if so that would just be a reflection of Covid depressing 2020 numbers.

  9. Changeman says:

    What are the sales expectations for Fate/Grand Carnival 1st Season?

    • something says:

      Dunno, it’s an OVA, the tracking sites only really cover TV series. Pripri does have a page for “other”, but it only tracks a handful of things.

  10. Ganies says:

    Is there any information on how much Nagatoro’s BD sold?

    • something says:

      It’s a Spring series, and I haven’t posted the Spring 2021 Vol. 1 post yet. Guess I should get to that soon, now that Spring series are coming out.

      In any case, it did not rank in the Animation BD Top 20, so we don’t know the number. It was something less than 1,256 (the threshold this week). Its weekly ranking in the all-genre list was #59, so I’m guessing it was something like 800-ish. Won’t know for sure unless we get leaks from the full Biz charts.

      Also apparently Battle Athletes Daiundoukai ReSTART! vol 1 came out two weeks prior and also didn’t rank. Which given the thresholds that week I guess means it sold less than 133 copies… Edit: or maybe not, it appears that Oricon simply isn’t tracking it at all (it isn’t in their database), for some reason. I don’t think it’s some weird limited retailer release or anything, I mean, it’s listed on Amazon JP and all.

      • Ganies says:

        Where can I find that BD top you mention?

        • something says:

          You either have to pay for an Oricon Youtaiju subscription (¥999/month or so), or find the leaks on a Chinese forum called Baidu.

          For a quick tutorial on how to use the CN forum, see here:.
          The only addendum to the steps above is that the posters have gotten a bit inconsistent about how they title their threads, which sometimes makes it difficult to find them. So I’ve taken to simplifying my searches down to just “周榜单” and trying to find the right threads in the results.

  11. something says:

    And in just its second week, Uma Musume Season 2 Vol. 1 is far and away the best-selling individual TV anime disc, with a monstrous 55,123 bringing the total to 167,153. Reaching 200k is not out of the question.

    This far surpasses the event ticket vol 1s of Love Live 2nd Season (116,896) and Osomatsu-san (114,548), the previous leaders in the Oricon era.

    It even surpasses the biggest volume of Evangelion, which was previously recorded at 131,166 Vol. 10 for its initial release (LD+VHS). However, Evangelion was pre-Oricon so the comparison is particularly apples and oranges. Tracking seems to have been much less complete back in the 80s and 90s. Not that Oricon is complete either (i.e., it doesn’t capture every volume the publisher shipped), but it generally misses *less* of the total than in the past.

    Also, at this point there is like a 99.9% chance it will top Bakemonogatari to take highest average sales of the Oricon era. Hell, if the remaining three volumes all sold only one copy each, its average would still be the best of any show in the last four years.

    • Changeman says:

      These absurd numbers…and history. Last year we had Kimetsu no Yaba breaking records in cinema, this year we’re seeing Uma Musume 2 doing the same in Blu-ray sales, what’s next?

      And taking advantage, how many volumes did volume 3 of Kaifuku sell?

  12. Rev says:

    Actually, the in-game item in question for Uma S2 game code sucks. They revealed the thing during a stream just bfr vol went on sale.
    It’s not new uma (equivalent of new servant in FGO) nor it is costume for specific uma (they had new umas with S2 costume on a banner released right after S2 airing ended) so it’s not swimsuit Djeeta level of worth-to-buy.
    The item given by the game code is a support card (equivalent to Essence, but more crucial), and like I said: it sucks. It didn’t take long for people to review it just from the reveal, and actually anyone who know how stat works in UmaMusu would know immediately that it won’t be as good, and buying the card would be a little bit more of whale collecting instead of waifu-ing or gameplay investment.

    Instead of the game codes, I suggest looking for the original reason why this franchise was made; The keiba scene in Japan is really big,and it’s getting bigger thanks to S2 success.
    The correlation between the two pushed vol sales into unprecedented level. We’re talking about medium to “big, but not the biggest” level of horse-owners stockpiling orders from people and helping to distribute it bcs the money it will get, a part of it will also go down to them, go down to the actual horses (some are still alive). People buy not just bcs they like what they watch and they like what they will get, but bcs of this rare chance that you can actually do something to support your supposedly-imaginary waifus in real life (even if in reality it’s a dude, and a big pp old stud).
    This unique sense-of-belonging, “seemingly specific, but actually larger” market target, & superiority of numbers in distribution channels on the retail level lead to this number, imho.

    ps.: and well, the story of Tokai Teio was just good. Let’s just say that S2 was the big gun they were forced to pull after franchise stagnated. It was the one that led to the boom and then horse-owners and old keiba people had to look at the fuzz and then things played out as I explained. Season 1 didn’t have this chance, being something that stayed on the fringes of anime community on the wider scale, which numbers, like someanithing said bfr, were pushed by bonuses for other franchise and live event tickets, instead.
    If there’s a S3, it won’t ever reach this number nor be as good.

    • something says:

      I’m not sure if I’m clearly understanding what you’re saying about horse owners “stockpiling orders from people and helping to distribute it bcs the money it will get”. In the end they’d still need to find people to sell the discs to… people who could just as – or more – easily have bought it themselves from a retailer without a middleman. Is there evidence of this enormous secondary market of “horse owners turned anime BD resellers”? Why would they be better at distributing the discs than, well, the online retailers they bought them from in the first place? I’m just kinda confused as to what you mean.

      (Volume 1 also has an event ticket, both for a lottery to attend in person but also a guaranteed code to view a digital version of the event, so it’s desirable even if you don’t think you’re gonna win a ticket lottery. How much of a role this is playing versus the codes or other factors else is unclear, though we should get a sense of that when we see how much Vols 2-4 drop. I’m guessing the codes are the bigger factor than the event though.)

      I tend to prefer the simplest explanations, even when extraordinary things happen. An insanely popular and long-awaited mobile game was released with tie-ins to a very popular and lucrative sport, and the tie-in anime was perfectly timed to capitalize on that explosive popularity, linking its desirability as a product to the game’s popularity via the codes. Even if the codes weren’t ideal, the effect would still be huge with only a small percentage of players wanting them. Saying the codes are having a huge effect isn’t necessarily saying the codes themselves are amazing, rather it’s saying the game they’re targeted towards is just astonishingly popular at the moment.

  13. Kevin says:

    wow what is the main casuse of uma to get those enormous sales?

  14. Changeman says:

    Do you have any predictions on how many volumes Higehiru Volume 1 will sell? I ask this because these last 3 days Blu-ray was among the 5 most searched on the oricon site.

    • something says:

      The pripri estimate is 1.4k. Its daily rankings on the BD charts this week so far are 6, 4, and 5. There doesn’t appear to be much coming out this week though, so there’s no guessing what that translates to in final sales. In any case, it’s only a few days until data is out.

  15. Shubham Khajuria says:

    Can you tell me sources you use to get these numbers?

    • something says:

      The company that compiles all of this information is Oricon. They’ve been doing it since around 2000, so everything you’ve seen related to anime sales for the last two decades or so has been from them.

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