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Full list. 160 DVD threshold, 170 BD.

2016 11/14 – 11/20 Anime DVD List

Anime Rank All Rank Last Rank Week Sales Total Sales #Wks Title
1 11 2,420 2,420 1 Yowamushi Pedal Spare Bike
2 13 1,715 1,715 1 Binan Koukou Chikyuu Bouei-bu LOVE! LOVE! v3
3 15 4 1,267 9,298 3 Crayon Shin-chan: Bakusui! Yumemi World Dai Totsugeki
4 22 18 990 75,976 123 Tonari no Totoro (2014 re-release)
7 30 834 834 1 Days v2
8 31 12 817 12,802 4 Meitantei Conan: Junkoku no Nightmare RE
9 34 759 759 1 Arslan Senki: Fuujin Ranbu v3
11 59 27 412 26,671 4 Meitantei Conan: Junkoku no Nightmare LE
15 75 314 314 1 Bakuon!! v6
17 84 280 280 1 Mahoutsukai Precure! v6
18 92 71 261 62,703 20 Youkai Watch Movie 2: Enma Daiou to Itsutsu no Monogatari da Nyan!
21 96 138 257 24,607 89 Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (2014 re-release)
23 99 253 253 1 Netoge no Yome wa Onna no Ko Janai to Omotta? v6
24 221 221 1 Sansha Sanyou v6
26 42 208 7,715 4 Zutto Mae Kara Suki Deshita: Kokuhaku Jikkou Iinkai
27 93 208 3,231 17 Kurenai no Buta (2014 re-release)
29 92 174 12,634 15 Doraemon: Shin Nobita no Nippon Tanjou

Other releases (concerts etc)
37 667 667 1 Nishi Asuka, Ogno Karin Asukarin no Koze ni Kaseki v2
100 63 252 15,518 6 Osomatsu-san Special Event Festa Matsu-san '16

2016 11/14 – 11/20 Anime BD List

Anime Rank All Rank Last Rank Week Sales Total Sales #Wks Title
1 9 4 3,941 58,542 4 Love Live! Sunshine!! v2
2 13 2,643 2,643 1 Yowamushi Pedal Spare Bike
4 18 9 1,965 81,930 8 Love Live! Sunshine!! v1
5 19 1,618 1,618 1 Sansha Sanyou v6
6 22 1,509 1,509 1 Kuromukuro v2
7 23 1,472 1,472 1 Bakuon!! v6
8 24 1,392 1,392 1 Binan Koukou Chikyuu Bouei-bu LOVE! LOVE! v3
9 25 1,209 1,209 1 Netoge no Yome wa Onna no Ko Janai to Omotta? v6
10 26 1,165 1,165 1 Arslan Senki: Fuujin Ranbu v3
11 31 627 627 1 Colorful Ninja Iromaki
12 47 545 545 1 Days v2
14 46 18 403 16,668 4 Kubikiri Cycle: Aoiro Savant to Zaregototsukai v1
15 51 35 332 27,643 4 Meitantei Conan: Junkoku no Nightmare LE
16 59 23 294 4,905 4 Meitantei Conan: Junkoku no Nightmare RE
19 67 20 256 9,933 3 Digimon Advenure tri. Movie 3: Kokuhaku
81 82 218 200,239 26 Girls und Panzer Movie LE
84 210 210 1 orange v3
91 66 189 28,653 76 Kotonoha no Niwa LE

Other releases (concerts etc)
88 51 194 79,038 8 Love Live! μ's Final LoveLive! μ'sic Forever♪♪♪♪♪♪♪♪♪

 

Fall update:
n/a

Summer update:
Boueibu s2 v3 sells 1392/1715, total 3,107.

Arslan s2 v3 sells 1165/759, total 1,924.

Days v2 sells 545/834, total 1,379. Down 31.4% on v1wk1.

orange v3 sells 210 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

LL Sunshine v1 adds 1965, total 82,126.
v1 adds 3,941, total 58,542. If you’re wondering about the uptick this week and large v2 tail, the first round of event ticket applications just cut off on 11/20 (both discs immediately declined on Amazon after that) so buyers needed to get in before then. There’s another one a week from now, so there may or may not be another bump two weeks from now.

 
Past seasons:
Bakuon v6, final volume, sells 1472/314, total 1,786. Series average: 2,253.

Sansan v6, final volume, sells 1618/221, total 1,839. Series average: 2,140.

Kuromukuro v2 sells 1,509 as a BD-only release. Down 11.7& on v1wk1.

Netoge v6, final volume, sells 1209/253, total 1,462. Series average: 1,967.

 
OVAs, Movies, Boxsets etc:
Yowapedal Spare Bike sells 2643/2420, total 5,063.

Garupan movie adds 218 LE BDs, total 226,369.

Zaregoto v1 adds 403 BDs, total 20,445.

Zutto Mae adds 208 DVDs, total 14,086.

 

Upcoming Releases for 2016 11/21 – 11/27 Anime DVD List
2016/11/23 Active Raid 2nd v2
2016/11/23 Anne Happy v6
2016/11/23 Eiyuu Kaitai OVA
2016/11/23 Endride v6
2016/11/23 FLCL BD Box
2016/11/23 Flying Witch v6
2016/11/23 Fruits Basket BD Box
2016/11/23 Gakusen Toshi Asterisk 2nd Season v6 (v12)
2016/11/23 Gyakuten Saiban: Sono Shinjitsu, Igi ari! v7 DVD
2016/11/23 Hajime Ningen Giatrus BD Box v2
2016/11/23 Hatsukoi Monster v3
2016/11/23 High School Fleet v6
2016/11/23 Jojo no Kimyou na Bouken Diamond wa Kudakenai v6
2016/11/23 Keijo!!!!!!!! v1
2016/11/23 Kono Bijutsubu ni wa Mondai ga Aru! v3
2016/11/23 Mahou Shoujo Lyrical Nanova ViVid
2016/11/23 Mob Psycho 100 v3
2016/11/23 Nejimaki Seirei Senki: Tenkyou no Alderamin v3
2016/11/23 Puzzle & Dragons Cross v4
2016/11/23 Qualidea Code v3
2016/11/23 ReLIFE v4
2016/11/23 Rewrite v3
2016/11/23 Shirobako BD Box v1
2016/11/23 Shokugeki no Souma: Ni no Sara DVD Box
2016/11/23 Shokugeki no Souma: Ni no Sara v3 BD
2016/11/23 Strike The Blood II OVA v1
2016/11/23 TerraFormars Revenge v6
2016/11/23 www.Working!! v1
2016/11/25 Amnesia BD Box
2016/11/25 Bananya
2016/11/25 Big Order v5 DVD
2016/11/25 Bungou Stray Dogs v6
2016/11/25 Cheer Danshi!! v3
2016/11/25 Dangan Ronpa 3: The End of Kibougamine Gakuen – Mirai-hen v3 DVD
2016/11/25 Dangan Ronpa 3: The End of Kibougamine Gakuen – Zetsubou-hen v3 DVD
2016/11/25 Dangan Ronpa 3: The End of Kibougamine Gakuen v3 BD
2016/11/25 Fate/kaleid liner Prisma Illya 3rei! v3
2016/11/25 Gochuumon wa Usagi Desu ka?? Rabbit House Tea Party 2016
2016/11/25 Hundred v6
2016/11/25 Kamisama Minarai: Himitsu no Cocotama v2
2016/11/25 Kidou Butouden G Gundam BD Box v2
2016/11/25 Kin-iro Mosaic BD Box
2016/11/25 KirePapa.
2016/11/25 Love Live! Sunshine!! v3
2016/11/25 Macross Delta v5
2016/11/25 Masou Gakuen HxH v3
2016/11/25 New Game! v3
2016/11/25 Omoide no Anime Library v64
2016/11/25 Re:Zero kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu v6
2016/11/25 Seirei no Moribito BD Box
2016/11/25 Servamp v3
2016/11/25 Shounen Ashibe Go! Go! Goma-chan DVD Box v1
2016/11/25 Sousei no Onmyouji v6
2016/11/25 Taboo Tattoo v3
2016/11/25 Tanaka-kun wa Itsumo Kedaruge v6
2016/11/25 Toki wo Kakeru Shoujo 10th Anniversary Box
2016/11/25 Yomigaeru Heo Library v20
2016/11/25 Youkai Watch v6
2016/11/25 Zegapain ADP
2016/11/25 Zettai Muteki Raijin-ou BD Box

Can barely believe Vivid is really, truly, actually, for real coming out, finally.

56 Responses to “2016 11/14 – 11/20 Weekly Sales List”

  1. David says:

    And here I hope vol2 MP100 can somehow cross 6k ;_; Those number for Arslan are so sad too ;_;

  2. Anon says:

    Looks like Sunshine v3 is going to have a massive drop.

    • Ejc says:

      The Love Live production committee must be missing μ’s a lot by now. Why else would they put so many tickets on the Anime volumes this time around? Ideally, Aqours would want to reach or surpass μ’s level… but they are so far away from them. I feel really bad for Aqours, having to be in the shadow of μ’s.

      Realistically, Vol.3 and 4 might only manage 25~30K first week based on the Stalker estimate, which is disappointing if compared to μ’s. But Aqours will be saved with tickets on Vol.5~7, which still makes me feel uneasy on Aqours’ future, since it was through excessive sales doping on the Anime discs.

      • something
        something says:

        Good lord they’re doing three more ticket volumes? 5 out of 7… I guess it doesn’t matter when I add it to the 10k list then, since there won’t ever be a “normal” sales level to wait for. I suppose I’ll at least wait for v3 though.

        • Ejc says:

          Yeah, even I was shocked after it was announced during the mobile game OSAKA real life event earlier this month. This is unprecedented territory, but I doubt it is related to live concerts like Vol.1 and 2. No doubt they will sell higher than the base sales, but it’s hard to say if it ends up being related to the mobile game.

          I also have a bad feeling that other series may feel it’s necessary to do things as excessive as this, and then it will fast become more and more pointless to compare to sales from just a few years ago.

          • something
            something says:

            Oh I thought this was only just now announced, since I’ve not seen those discs getting a big bump on Amazon (or I missed it). But since you said it might not be a live concert, I guess people are waiting on details.

  3. uchiha madara says:

    full list?!!
    anyway looks re:zero didn’t make it

    • Ejc says:

      I told you last week that the preliminary and full lists come from two different subscription services and doesn’t come out at the same time within a week. The full list will be out in a few days, don’t worry.

      • uchiha madara says:

        i know,but in the post write “full list” so i wondered if someanithing did a mistake instead he wrote preliminary list he wrote full list

  4. Puzzleman says:

    hi guys, how are the predictions for keijo next week?

    • something
      something says:

      Completely dead, like almost everything I’m watching. 1,025 estimate on Stalker. Will have a sub-1k final average almost for sure.

      A real shame because it’s a shockingly enjoyable show for such a dumb premise. Such charismatic and fun characters, and a premise that takes itself just seriously enough to be worth getting a little invested in, but incredibly goofy to the point where it really nails the humor. Also Miyata is love. I got my preorder in.

      • BlackPoint says:

        Personnaly i was expecting Keijo to sell easily around 5k+ but if its really gonna be only 1k then just wow….

        • something
          something says:

          Sports anime featuring girls just do. not. sell. The closest exceptions we have are Girls und Panzer (which… isn’t a traditional sports anime, but fits the mold in its own atypical way) and Saki (…ditto). Tanks and majhong, not really your standard sports anime.

          It’s frustrating (I am deeply madly in love with Shakunetsu no Takkyuu Musume and it’s not selling at all) but I have very little faith in this ever changing.

          • BlackPoint says:

            Yeah but it was ecchi and thoose normaly sell no matter what other genres it has beside it and keijo is quite good better then i would expect. As for the pingpong girls its oky-ish i am watchin it but really dunno to feel about it kinda doesnt really grab the attention.

            • something
              something says:

              “Yeah but it was ecchi and thoose normaly sell no matter what”

              This isn’t and never has been true. It’s a common misconception, but it’s just not the case.Few are hits, some do average, many bomb, like anything else.

          • Mari says:

            Something about Takkyuu Musume’s character designs seems sloppy which is probably why the otaku aren’t biting.

            I seriously doubt they exhausted every option to conclude that girls’ sports show doesn’t sell. Maybe they should try slender, sexier female designs like you usually see in fujo shows. Seriously, I’m surprised the producers doesn’t react to the rising fujo stuff and try to counteract them by “borrowing” some of their aesthetics.

            • something
              something says:

              Character designs? I doubt it’s that, he character art in the show is pretty damn good if you ask me. Super expressive and charming and just all around great.

              IMO the show is literally perfect at being what it’s trying to be right now and is a lock for top 5 of the year for me though (possibly #4, ahead of even New Game) so what do I know.

      • CNL899 says:

        It looks like a lot of Fall 2016 is dead on arrival from what I’ve heard. Anything looking like it’s going to do well? (Any non sequels?)

        • something
          something says:

          This will be the best-selling season of the year, easily. Women are saving anime disc sales this fall.

          Potential 30k: Uta no Prince-sama Maji Love Legend Star and Yuuri!! on Ice
          Potential 15k: Touken Ranbu: Hanamaru
          Potential 10k: Haikyuu!! Season 3 and Drifters

          (None of the above except Drifters will be apparent on Stalker/Amazon, because they’re so heavily biased towards Animate instead. Heck, Utapri s4 only just got solicited on Amazon less than a week ago, for some reason.)

          What they have in common is that besides (maybe?) Drifters, they have majority female disc buying audiences. As for guys? They continue to almost entirely sit this year out. So RIP all the shows I like this season, except Natsume s5 (which is also majority female fanbase, tho even that looks set to drop a fair bit from previous seasons).

          • musouka says:

            Nah, Yuri on Ice is doing well on Amazon currently. In fairness it’s also probably being diluted by how many versions of volume one there are, but ever since ep seven (which was wonderful) last week, I don’t think it’s left the top 25.

            • something
              something says:

              For sure it got a big boost from the most recent episode. Basically, I’d characterize it as “Such a big boost it’s doing extremely well even on Amazon” (instead of just “quite well”), a retailer we don’t expect to drive the majority of sales.

              Even now, it’s not performing well enough on Amazon to justify me saying it has 30k potential… or rather, that’s what I’d say if it were a show for which we expected Amazon to be representative. But for a title performing like it is at Amazon now *and* continuing to utterly destroy everything at Animate (including Utapri!) for something like six weeks straight, now that is some legitimate 30k potential right there.

              Of course when I say 30k average, I’m factoring in the usual significant event ticket drops these shows have. If it’s really going to average ~30k, we should probably expect to see a 45k+ v1. If v1 opens at, like, 25k and ends around 32k, then not so much.

              It really is incredibly tricky to estimate, thanks to this latest boost and its dominance at Animate. I would consider any estimate between 15k and 40k average entirely plausible right about now.

              • musouka says:

                I would love it if it hit 30~40K, but I’m trying to temper my expectations down to more like 15~20K. (Then again, I estimated 15K-ish for Free! and look how that turned out)

                Blowing UtaPri away right now is a good sign, yeah, but this is UtaPri’s 4th series, right? It’s hard to say how much enthusiasm is left compared to its heights.

                • something
                  something says:

                  S3 sold just about the same as S2, and it aired only last year, so its latest success is still quite fresh. For Utapri it depends in part on how popular the music still is. If it drives another 60k event ticket volume, I can see Utapri being close to 30k again. Utapri does have more boy idol competition now, but none of them have gotten anywhere near its level (B-Project has been the most successful, but it’s still far smaller and fell off a cliff after the event tickets ended) so hard to say how many if any fans it’s losing to those.

                  But yeah, who knows! Utapri has been behind Yuuri for ages now, but if it racked up a monumental lead in those first two weeks or so of solicitation (and I mean, by s4 you already know right away if you wanna buy or not), it could still be selling more. That’s why I still expect Utapri to sell more overall… but that’s getting more questionable each passing day.

                  • hikari says:

                    The thing is, from observing the oricon music charts, nowadays the sales of the cd music singles of Utapri S4 has decreased considerably compare to the previous seasons by quite a margin (half or around 50% more). Even the OP-ED that used to sell a lot (although still not on the level of μ’s LL), right now only sell half of what it used to (after more than four/more weeks, it still can reach 30K copy (still lingering around 22-28K before dropping off the chart), when at its peak which is S2-S3 can easily cross 40-50K on the first week alone). That also what happen to all the others cd duet singles on Utapri S4 that is not OP-ED, they also drop quite a lot (also around half or more), though still sold well for an anime music, but I’m pretty sure the music producers are very much aware of the drop by now. Some of its competitors cd singles that haven’t had anime like EnStar and Idolish7 even managed to outsell Utapri. So….yeah, competitions sure suck and starting to bring quite an effect on Utapri.
                    Now, whether those music cd’s sales correlate on its BD/DVD sales including its event ticket volume like what happen to Aqours now (compare to μ’s LL), still need to be seen. But, jut like Musouka I’m definetely not going to be suprised if somehow YOI managed to outsell Utapri this season, judging on their performances at animate and (even) amazon so far.

                    • hikari says:

                      One thing I also noticed, that even when Utapri S3 had the same or a bit more sales compared to S2 because it had 2 event tickets volume compare to S2’s one, but the sales of its non event ticket volumes are actually already decreased/less compared to S2. I guess those 2 event tickets that managed to offset its average by the end compared to S2. Even, at the time of S3 I saw that the music sales is starting to decreased bit by bit compared to its previous installments.

                    • something
                      something says:

                      s3 non-ticket volumes averaged 25.5k, while s1 non-ticket vol averaged 27.2k for v2-6 (28.5k for v2-7, v7 getting a significant bump presumably for the included CD?). So yep the non-ticket vols were down (though not much) and the second ticket is what gave s3 a roughly 2k edge overall. s4 also has two tickets though, in v1-2.

                      To clarify, I do not expect s4 to increase over s3 like s3 did over s2. s4 (2 tix, 6 vol) doesn’t have any of the advantages over s3 (2 tix, 6 vol) that s3 had over s2 (1 tix, 7 vol).

                      So at best it might stay on par. More likely, it’ll drop to some degree. I think my point is just that Utapri can afford about a 15% drop and still hover around 30k. So if Yuuri does indeed top Utapri, 30k territory looks quite possible. If Utapri takes a tumble and sells much less than 30k, then yeah, Yuuri beating it would not necessarily mean 30k+.

                      It’s worth noting that I have a strong tendency to be more optimistic on estimates of shows I’m not watching (like YoI), and thus feel more detached from, than shows I am watching (insert a list of utterly dead shows here), because me watching and particularly importing a show seems to be absolutely deadly to that show’s success… So if I were a YoI fan I’d probably be much much more hesitant about considering what its upper bound might be!

                      (Meanwhile, Flip Flappers can barely get into the top 1000 on Amazon, so just fucking kill me now please. ;_; )

                    • hikari says:

                      Yeah…it seems that female fans in Japan is open or can appreciated/even celebrated shows with strong BL flavours like YoI which is not strictly BL anime, though the majority still also prefer subtext then explicit text, while the male fans tend to like shows with ambiguos/pure/subtext more than the one with strong yuri flavours like Flip Flappers, bonus point if it’s idol like LL(just look at Madoka, GuP or Nanoha), the majority of them have a strong subtext/undertones, but still nowhere like Flip Flappers or heck even straight out yuri like Sakura Trick.

                      But Doukyuusei movie at least still sold very well for a BL anime and so did Junjou Romantica S1 compared to any other GL/yuri anime I know so far.

                    • something
                      something says:

                      Flip Flappers was completely dead on arrival (too artsy, too weird), well before it started diving deep into the relationship between Papika and Cocona. So while yuri didn’t kill it… it’s sure not saving it, no.

                      I’m not sure why Ichijinsha/CYH thinks Citrus or Netsuzou (my rather conflicted thoughts on that here) will make a difference. But I guess since every yuri-focused show bombs, might as well try anything.

                    • hikari says:

                      True….Flip Flappers already kind of dead on arrival, not only in Japan, even in english speaking community (crunchyroll streaming, etc), it seems like it’s not that popular enough (very very very niche) among the majority late night anime watchers if we look at the available data. It exists and quite well-loved among a very niche sakuga fans/artsy anime community/critics though….kind of like Ikuhara’s Yuri Kuma Arashi.

                      Regarding Citrus and NtR, I guess the producers think those at least can increase the manga sales/giving enough promotion for the manga/publisher with just one cour anime advertisement or probably since those 2 series is kind of a bit sexy and have a great art, at least it still have chances/prospect to sell a little bit more, well who knows anyway.

                      I kind of forget beforehand…..but if there’re any producers that still willing to funded yuri-shows with all its risks, why not at least continuing with what’s left of Marimite in the novels and adapted all of the stories until its completion. At least if they’re not willing to pick other (better) titles, why not adapting one of the few successful franchise like Marimite (it used to have decent sales right….especially compare to any other titles of its like), though it probably already too late cuz it’s already too long of a gap with the last installments.

                      Personally for a yuri show, I woud love to see an adaptation of Adashima or Kase-san or others alike.

                    • something
                      something says:

                      Yeah, it’s just way too late for Marimite. The audience would be gone, the novels are long done, and there’s probably actually less economic upside than for your average poor-selling but ongoing yuri title.

                • hikari says:

                  Yup…I also would love to see YOI having a huge success (even blowing Utapri at the end), but I also try to set my expectations in check right now. I gues (for me) personally, I want to see YOI and TouRanbu success more compare to Utapri, cuz Utapri kind of already dragging and milking its feet to me with its 4 season (though it still has large fanbase in Japan, but even then it’s number seems already stagnated from S3 and I don’t see any evidence that it can increase in huge number anymore).
                  Especially, if we look at it again this year when the competitions for female otaku and fujoshi becoming even fiercer than before, not only Utapri had taken damage on its music sales from their new smashing competitor like EnStar and Idolish7 or even Touranbu on small scales, in terms of anime show now you have like plenty of other bishonen shows with a variety of qualities ranging from YOI, Touranbu, other sport shows like Haikyuu, etc not to mention other male idol show, especially EnStar and Idolish7 that’s likely to come next year and definetely will pose more threats to Utapri’s already stagnated fanbase. We already see its proof from the drop of its music sales this year with half of its fanbase already move on or supporting other franchises, though it needs to be seen what effect it has for the sales of its BD/DVD anime, especially the event ticket concerts.

                  • Elio says:

                    How the hell is the male otaku going to counter that? It’s going to look embarrassing on their part or even the producers if they don’t even have a sports show or a good KanColle anime adaptation to counter Touken Ranbu

                    • Ejc says:

                      KanColle in Anime form is doomed. I think only a reboot would make a difference, as game and light novel fans who hated the Anime Adaptation never came back as shown by the luckluster movie earnings in its opening weekend.

                    • something
                      something says:

                      I know it probably sounds like semantic nitpicking but I’m going to say this again: how we talk about this is important. Speaking of “countering” or being “embarrassed” by shows aimed at women doing better, or the need to “reclaim dominance” in your prior comment, really rubs me the wrong way. There isn’t much that separates “competition” from “hostility” and that’s entirely the wrong way to think about this.

                      It may not have been what you intended, and if so, fair enough. But it’s definitely the intended message from many other people (by which I of course mean male fans) I encounter. It smacks of the “keep those girls out of my hobby” mentality that’s done so much damage to other media/fandoms. I can’t control how the discourse plays out in anime fandom writ large, but I can and certainly will control it on this site.

                      And if you (a general “you”) want shows you like to do better? BUY THEM. I do. Even when it feels hopeless, even when I know I’m just increasing a sales number from “awful” to “awful+1”, I still do it. It’s the only thing I can do.

          • CNL899 says:

            Cool. I’m not really knowledgeable about this sort of stuff, and you are, so do you know if a studio is more likely to be on the production committee if an anime is an original? Like I know that a lot of anime are advertisements and many times studios aren’t even on the production committee because they’re just hired to promote a manga/LN and don’t take much profit/losses from it. For instance, YoI is a popular original series this season, is MAPPA likely to be on the production committee? (and thus making a lot off its success) If not the studio, then who funds original anime and why? I don’t even know if these are good questions but I was reading people discussing potential sequels from this season, and it seemed like a lot of it depended on the production committee- which I don’t know much about.

            • something
              something says:

              I don’t keeo a list of committees, so I can’t check for sure if originals have studios on the committee more often. As for YoI’s committee, I’m not sure. Unfortunately it’s not a show that lists its members in the OP.

              Who funds original anime? The same as other shows, the only difference is that there’s not a source material company involved, due to lack of source material. That said, a fair amount of original anime is a media mix where manga/novel/game/music products come out in parallel with the anime as part of a multimedia push. Even on manga/novel adaptations, it’s usually the video disc publisher on top of the committee, more often than the print publisher (though they’re almost always at least second).

              Not just a lot depends on the committee, but everything. The committee = the funding. They both reap the rewards of any revenue, and take the risks of funding it in the first place. This is why we always tell people not to yell at studios if they show they like doesn’t get a sequel: it often has little, or nothing, to do with the studio. If a show was successful and still doesn’t get a sequel, it’s possible the core staff or the studio were busy or declined, and the committee decided not to try to find someone new. But even then, it’s still the committee’s call to not pursue another director/studio.

            • ultimatemegax says:

              Productions committees are the funding for how a show gets made, meaning these are the companies who take the risk of financing the production and trying to return their costs via various revenue sources (video discs, music discs, music rights (for games), international rights, merchandise (if said companies make merchandise), ratings if TV station, events, and more). If these companies see a big return on their investment, then you’re likely to see more as there’s an established audience that has been shown to financially support this product. That’s why we always say it’s up to the committee for any possible sequels.

              Original shows are generally made via potential ideas from producers. It could be anything from Aniplex’s Iwakami saying “I’d like to see Shaft’s Shinbo take on a production in the magical girl genre” to Infinite’s Nagatani/PA Works’s Horikawa changing what was supposed to be an action show into a show about work after production on Angel Beats. The planning on these changes much more often as ideas get developed, but the financing is the same as if it’s an adaptation. Generally it’s all about your staff and not the studio, but sometimes the studio does join the committee much like in adaptations.

              For Yuri on Ice in particular, the committee is:
              Avex Pictures/Music (Video/Music publisher)
              TV Asahi (TV station/International Rightsholder)
              Dentsu (Advertising)
              CIC (Event planning)
              Cygames (mobile gaming)
              TV Asahi Music (Music publishing)
              Movic (Merchandise production)
              Mappa (Animation Production)

              Mappa will get /some/ of the revenue if it exceeds costs from these other companies, but the exact amount is determined by contracts. Mappa itself is just a workspace for animators and some of the photography team. The rest of the animation production finances goes to other companies to produce 2nd key animation, in-betweens, painting, backgrounds, and the other parts of photography. The creative staff are freelancers and get paid set amounts (outside of director/original creator/series composer (most of whom is Sayo Yamamoto anyways), and they’re the ones who came up with this and appeased the producers.

      • Shazam says:

        Now if Keijo’s manga sales become noticeable then it will be relief for the Author atleast.Seems like Japanese have decided:”Ecchi(Ecchi&Harem)!!?So don’t buy”.I really wonder why DXD’s new season was announced given the situation of ecchi anime.It maybe because novel’s sales are on a downfall for a while now.It would be a surprise from now if an ecchi anime does crosses 5k average sales mark properly.

        • something
          something says:

          Harem is still kinda the foundation of the light novel industry, but it’s always been the case that anime of that sort rarely does more than decent at best. To whatever extent their disc sales have dropped in the last few years, it simply mirrors how everything (except idols and sports boys) has dropped.

  5. TasteyCookie says:

    I’m just convinced that the physical media age of Anime is over. Every new “hit” (with a couple very odd exceptions like GuP) sell a lot less than previous hits. Heck even major ones like Re:Zero, have been a huge success in every sector besides the physical release. ie: The LN’s got a huge boost, the merchandise is selling like crazy (which there is a TON of merch) and it was extremely popular on streaming platforms.

    I guess that’s just the way the cookie crumbles :( I just hope they’ll keep creating the physical media as I am one who actually does enjoy purchasing them.

    • something
      something says:

      Determining how well the upper crust of a year is doing is a bit complicated. We typically use number of 10k+ shows as a convenient shorthand to count hits. And by that measure, 2015 is the best year ever, with 16, 5 of which topped 25k.

      But maybe another way to look at it is just to take the top ‘x’ number of shows from each year and see how they did. This totally disregards the number of shows that aired in a year, but maybe that’s fine? It’s not like increasing the number of shows necessarily increases the number of hits. It mostly increases the number of flops.

      See the data here

      Notes:
      • I used 2005-2016 data.
      • Big bold number is the total number of series I cover for that year.
      • 2016 is there twice. The grayed out one is the current top 20 based on the last time I updated the Quick View (last weekend). The other one is some estimates about what the top 20 will end up looking like when all is said and done. I did not put a ton of thought into those estimates, so just take them as very rough ballparks!

      Comments:
      1. One thing I find interesting is how relatively consistent the #20 ranked show is, at least back to 2010. Despite the number of shows I cover varying from 75 in 2010 to nearly double that in 2015, the #20 shows each year were all pretty close in sales. This is why I say the number of shows in a year doesn’t matter too much. Buyers cluster around a few shows each season, and airing 30 a season vs 45 a season won’t much change the number of big hits that season.

      2. 2016 is definitely set to have a weaker top 20, even if my off-the-cuff estimates are a bit off.
      • The top 20 median is almost guaranteed to be below 10k for the first time since 2007. There can’t possibly be more than 10 10k series this year (because I think B-Project is -definitely- ending below 10k with that ticket drop). So unless all 10 all clear the bar by a lot, the median will be between Joker Game and the lowest 10k show, and thus a bit below 10k.
      • The top 20 average is more sensitive to my estimates being off, but it also looks set to be meaningfully lower than any year since 2010. If shows over-perform a lot (coughYOIcough), it could potentially catch up to 2014, but if they under-perform it could fall to 2006 levels.

      3. Fall is make-or-break for 2016’s upper tier. Yuuri!! on Ice is the huge wild card, so and I’m intentionally being slightly conservative with my number here. Either way, Fall could contribute half of the total 10k series, and if Re:Zero/Delta fall short, Fall might end up contributing 5 of 8 (63%). It does depend in Haikyuu holding on to 10k and Drifters not being massively overestimated by Stalker though.

      In summary, I think the decline in the upper tier is fairly new to 2016 and even then Fall is putting in a herculean effort to minimize the overall effect.

      • Artie says:

        These changes scare me a bit. One of the things I liked a lot about the current BD market situation in Japan was that shows which were not among the most viewed, and whose characters didn’t make into any popularity poll, managed to sometimes get nice BD sales because the series had a higher watcher-to-buyer conversion rate or enough people dedicated enough to buy multiple times (I guess? Doesn’t make sense otherwise). Symphogear and Yuki Yuna are the quickest examples I can think.

        If we move more and more into streaming territory, it seems such niche might stop existing, and that spooks me.

        • something
          something says:

          Really depends on how much money there is to be made from streaming. Super niche anime overwhelmingly get super niche disc sales too, after all, so it would be expected they get less viewers. Shows that seem niche but get good disc sales probably aren’t as niche as we thought (or overcame their niche) and got a good number of viewers.

          A standard poorly selling one cour show (let’s say ¥7000 * 6vol & 1,500 avg) will make somewhere around ¥63m from disc sales, about a ¥35m take-home for the committee using the old 55% number. That’s simply not a lot of money to worry about losing in the first place. That covers, oh, a little over 10% of total production and marketing costs?

          So they have to make money elsewhere regardless. Streaming probably only helps that, even for niche shows. You’ll still make some disc sales, even from an ever-shrinking pool of people who care about physical media. But if you can also monetize viewership the combined efforts could be a net increase.

          It particularly helps if you can cut out some traditional TV broadcasts, which is a fairly significant expense for anime. You trade “paying to be seen” for “getting paid to be seen”. That could help a lot.

          Obviously it’s bad if disc sales go away entirely. Surely it’s better to be able to monetize viewership (streaming) and ownership (DVD/BD). If streaming simply replaces discs with no net increase in revenue, that’s sketchy… but in theory it should be a net positive.

          I hope?

          (Usual caveat: Production committees are complex, not all revenue is necessarily shared equally among all members, some members care about disc and steaming revenue more than others, etc.)

      • JJ says:

        Predicting YOI is pretty crazy right now. The stalker estimates are unrelible because a really good episode last week caused a spike, but its been a week and a medicore episode and the Stalker graph is still a (kind of unsettling) straight line.

  6. Ejc says:

    What Anime Do Japanese People Like? (Akihabara Interview):
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=51kkZXYuAb8

    It’s not a large sample size, but it’s a very interesting range of answers, and the reasons why they like a certain anime.

    For female fans, answers consisted of Haikyuu!!, Free! (they like the muscles), Osomatsu-san (they like all the different personalities), Diamond no Ace, Gintama (it can be serious and funny), and Love Live!.

    For male fans, answers consisted of a wide range such as Love Live!, Rewrite, Re:Zero, Idolmaster, High School Fleet, BLEACH, One Piece, Haganai, Kingdom, Shimajiro, Clannad, Dragon Ball, Conan, Gochiusa and Guilty Crown.

    • Ejc says:

      And hopefully some Western fans who have a misunderstanding of what “moe” actually means, knows what it means now. “Moe” is not a genre, it’s a “rising feeling” you feel for a character, and it can also be felt for inanimate objects (such as certain tanks in Girls und Panzer for military otaku). Every single anime nowadays makes fans feel moe, even JoJo’s Bizarre Adventure for example! It also isn’t restricted to just female characters!

  7. ManCold:) says:

    Will Brave Witches have nudity on BDs like Strike Witches, because the release will be 2 months later? And how are the sale predictions, or is it to early to say something about?

    • something
      something says:

      Both prior Strike Witches seasons removed censorship on the BDs, yes. That’s not why it’s being delayed, however. They’re just having production issues.

      As for sales, it looks like it’s going into a nosedive. The estimate is only 6,032 right now and both SW2 and the OVA were notably overestimated by Stalker in the past. So while managing a 5k avg would be better than the vast majority of shows aimed at male fans this season, it’ll be lucky to average half of what the first two seasons managed.

  8. something
    something says:

    Updated with the full list.

    Per-series ranking just gives us 16 more discs for Amaama v1wk6, total 945.

  9. Gintoki_KotAro says:

    waiting for the next week,to see re:zero v6,Mob Psycho 100 v3 and flying witch v6

    i don’t know why i feel like flying witch isn’t a success anime ‘_’

    • something
      something says:

      Flying Witch probably did okay. It’s at least managing “average” disc sales, and I think I remember reading something about how it did decently on JP streaming platforms. As HP pointed out, it’s also gotten a good manga boost.

      That’s pretty much all we can expect from a slice of life show, honestly.

      • ultimatemegax says:

        And hopefully it did well for NTV when broadcasting in Tokyo and international rights since they led the committee. Those are numbers we won’t find out, but hopefully good enough.

      • Gintoki_KotAro says:

        yeah the manga got good boost and volume 5 reached 72k wk2 but it’s probably won’t make 3rd week
        but like what did ultimatemegax said hopefully it did well for nippon tv

  10. Elio says:

    “As for guys? They continue to almost entirely sit this year out.”

    What the hell are they buying nowadays that’s getting them stomped out by fujos? Has mobile gaming really saturated their funds? They need to reclaim their market dominance or learn to love what the fujos are into but with girl characters.

    • something
      something says:

      I’m not a fan of “competition” rhetoric. Male and female fans aren’t competing. There’s no need to “reclaim market dominance”, seeing as how the market can very much handle (and would vastly prefer!) both to be buying a ton of discs. After all the same relatively small collection of companies fund the majority of all late night shows. They want everything they do to be a success, not just a few.

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