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Full list. 233 DVD threshold, 203 BD.

2015 09/14 – 09/20 Anime DVD List

Anime Rank All Rank Last Rank Week Sales Total Sales #Wks Title
1 6 3,477 3,477 1 Diamond no Ace Inajitsusen v1
2 7 3,307 3,307 1 Haikyuu!! Movie: Owari to Hajimari
3 8 3,186 3,186 1 Kekkai Sensen v4
10 31 877 877 1 Akatsuki no Yona v5
11 33 860 860 1 Monster Musume no Iru Nichijou v1
12 35 16 817 127,172 11 Youkai Watch: Tanjou no Himitsu da Nyan!
13 37 778 778 1 Himouto! Umaru-chan v1
14 51 44 564 6,065 4 THE IDOLM@STER Cinderella Girls v4
15 54 547 547 1 Hibike! Euphonium v4
16 56 536 536 1 Show by Rock!! v4
17 67 465 465 1 Non Non Biyori Repeat v1
19 86 383 383 1 Grisaia no Rakuen v2
20 95 15 349 9,452 3 Uta no Prince-sama Maji Love Revolutions v3
21 97 60 341 6,449 7 Doraemon Nobita no Space Heroes
22 102 324 324 1 Go! Princess Precure v3
23 52 313 33,903 9 The Last -Naruto the Movie- LE
24 109 308 308 1 Kyoukai no Rinne v3
25 82 302 42,756 62 Tonari no Totoro (2014 re-release)
26 126 264 264 1 Shounen Hollywood -Holly Stage for 50- v6
28 51 251 10,975 4 ONE PIECE Log Collection 'Fish-Man Island'
29 73 241 13,584 9 The Last -Naruto the Movie- RE
30 139 233 233 1 Nintama Rantarou 22nd Series DVD Box v1

Other releases (concerts etc)
10 2,695 2,695 1 Exit Tunes Dance party beatnation summit 2015
28 969 969 1 fripSide Live Tour 2014-2015 Final in Yokohama Arena
38 761 761 1 Soreike! Anpanman Happy Otanjoubi Series October
116 296 296 1 i☆Ris 1st Live Tour 2015 ~We Are i☆Ris!!!~ @Zepp Tokyo
141 231 231 1 Kotobuki Minako 3rd Live Tour 2015 TickTickTick

2015 09/14 – 09/20 Anime BD List

Anime Rank All Rank Last Rank Week Sales Total Sales #Wks Title
1 2 8,751 8,751 1 Kekkai Sensen v4
2 5 6,009 6,009 1 Hibike! Euphonium v4
4 9 4,333 4,333 1 Monster Musume no Iru Nichijou v1
5 10 4,232 4,232 1 Show by Rock!! v4
6 11 4,005 4,005 1 Non Non Biyori Repeat v1
7 12 3,691 3,691 1 Himouto! Umaru-chan v1
8 14 3,201 3,201 1 Haikyuu!! Movie: Owari to Hajimari
9 17 2,311 2,311 1 Grisaia no Rakuen v2
12 27 1,132 1,132 1 Akatsuki no Yona v5
13 28 1,064 1,064 1 Wakaba Girl v1
15 31 26 837 16,409 4 THE IDOLM@STER Cinderella Girls v4
16 35 711 711 1 Shounen Hollywood -Holly Stage for 50- v6
17 39 14 577 17,227 3 Uta no Prince-sama Maji Love Revolutions v3
18 41 551 551 1 Rokka no Yuusha v1
19 48 452 452 1 Re-Kan! v3
20 49 446 446 1 Danchigai
50 444 444 1 Ore Monogatari!! v4
52 426 426 1 The Unlimited Hyoubu Kyousuke BD Box
60 9 346 3,645 2 Working!!! v2
63 320 320 1 GARO -Honoo no Kokuin- v8
68 309 309 1 Jitsu wa Watashi wa v1
69 10 305 3,549 2 Pripara Movie: Minna Atsumare! Prism Tours
74 275 275 1 Chaos Dragon v1
88 52 232 31,201 9 The Last -Naruto the Movie- LE
90 42 227 25,321 4 Shinseiki Evangelion BD Box (2015)
96 17 215 2,105 2 Bishoujo Senshi Sailor Moon Crystal v12

Other releases (concerts etc)
7 4,464 4,464 1 fripSide Live Tour 2014-2015 Final in Yokohama Arena
20 1,513 1,513 1 Kotobuki Minako 3rd Live Tour 2015 TickTickTick
26 1,176 1,176 1 i☆Ris 1st Live Tour 2015 ~We Are i☆Ris!!!~ @Zepp Tokyo

Well these were three of Summer’s potential mid-range sellers, and they’re hovering around 5k wk1 with event tickets so uhhh, it really is all up to Symphogear and Overlord to salvage something of Summer.

Summer update:
Monmusu v1 sells 4333/860, total 5,193. Event ticket. Probably a sub-5k average unless the ticket has next to no effect. 19.8% underestimated BD, 16.3% overestimated DVD. This was the one storefront-heavy title this week.

Umaru-chan v1 sells 3691/778, total 4,469. Event ticket. Definitely a sub-5k average. 0.5% underestimated BD, 17.9% overestimated DVD.

Non Non s2 v1 sells 4005/465, total 4,470. Event ticket. I knew it would drop, but ouch, on track for about a 50% plunge this season. Really sucks considering how perfect Repeat was. Otaku are so very fickle. They’ll clamor for a sequel but then, in so many cases, most of them are nowhere to be seen when it’s time to buy it. 18.6% overestimated BD, 34.7% DVD. Amazon editions really mess up estimates.

Wakaba Girl v1 sells 1,064 BDs, DVDs do not rank. Event ticket. 1k seems to be the “okay” line for a short so this is fine I guess. 31% overestimated, the Amazon editions continue to screw up estimates for titles that aren’t heavily storefront biased, but as Monmusu shows, the effect is not predicable at all.

Rokka no Yuusha sells 551 BDs, DVDs do not rank. 25.2% underestimated though that percentage doesn’t mean much for such low sales. It’s a difference of 111 units (which is almost exactly the 115 units of the estimate coming from the Amazon edition).

Danchigai sells 446 BDs, DVDs do not rank. 26.3% overestimated.

Chaos Dragon v1 sells 275/146, total 421. DVDs from extended. 29.1% BD overestimate. Again, percentage doesn’t matter this low tho.

Jitsu wa v1 sells 309 BDs, DVDs do not rank. 53.7% underestimated… but of course it’s only a difference of 108 units so you can ignore estimates this low.

Working s3 v2 adds 346/177, total 4,853. DVDs from extended.

Did not yet rank in any format:
Baby Steps s2 (sub-134)

Spring update:
Kekkaisen v4 sells 8751/3186, total 11,937.

Euphonium v4 sells 6009/547, total 6,556. First volume without an event ticket, though most of the ticket effect went into v1. How close this gets to v3 depends on whether wk2 is 700+ again. Low end estimate for Eupho average is now probably around 7.5k.

Show By Rock v4 sells 4232/536, total 4,768. Fairly sizable drop considering v3 had zero drop on v2.

Grisaia s2 v2 sells 2311/383, total 2,694.

Kyoukai no Rinne v3 sells 308, DVD-only release.

Oremonogatari v4 sells 444/178, total 622. DVDs from extended.

Re-Kan! v4 sells 452/178, total 630. DVDs from extended.

Utapri s3 v3 adds 577/349, total 26,679. So we’re looking at slightly lower non-ticket vols than s2, but not by much. Having two big ticket volumes of 60k and 50k will more than make up for it and push s3 to an increased average.

Past seasons:
Akatsuki no Yona v5 sells 1132/877, total 2,009.

ShoHolly s2 v6, final volume, sells 711/264, total 975. Series average: 1,097.

Garo v8, final volume, sells 320 BDs, DVDs do not rank. Series average: 329. DVDs never ranked.

Deremas v4 adds 837/564, total 37,970. Getting some longevity out of that event ticket. v1 is still higher, but for starting *9k* lower on G4Us, v4 has made up a ton on standalone discs and is only 7.6% down on v1 now. Nice boost to the average. Also another good reason not to split this as two seasons for sales tracking, as the season drop would be artificially large and misleading for “s1” to have two event tickets to “s2” having none. Odd number of discs anyway so no good spot to split them.

Sailor Moon Crystal v12 adds 215 BDs, total 2,105.

OVAs, Movies, Boxsets etc:
Haikyuu!! recap movie sells 3201/3307, total 6,508.

Hyoubu Kyousuke BD Box sells 426.

Evangelion BD Box adds 227, total 25,321.

Upcoming Releases for 2015 09/21 – 09/27 Anime DVD List
2015/09/23 Charlotte v1
2015/09/23 Nanatsu no Taizai v9
2015/09/23 Shigatsu wa Kimi no Uso v8
2015/09/25 Akai Koudan Zillion BD Box
2015/09/25 Ansatsu Kyoushitsu v7
2015/09/25 Code Geass Hangyaku no Lelouch R2 5.1ch BD Box
2015/09/25 Fate/kaleid liner Prisma Illya 2wei Herz! v1
2015/09/25 Funasshi no Funafunafuna Biyori
2015/09/25 Gangsta v1
2015/09/25 Gatchaman Crowds Insight v1
2015/09/25 Hello!! Kin-iro Mosaic v4
2015/09/25 Junjou Romantica 3 v1
2015/09/25 Kidou Senshi V Gundam BD Box v2
2015/09/25 Koufuku Graffiti v6
2015/09/25 Kuroko no Basuke 3rd Season v6
2015/09/25 Kuusen Madoushi Kouhosei no Kyoukan v1
2015/09/25 Meitantei Conan Treasured Selection File Kurozukume no Soshiki to FBI v9
2015/09/25 Mikagura Gakuen Kumikyoku v4
2015/09/25 Nagato Yuki-chan no Shoushitsu v4
2015/09/25 Noragami BD Box
2015/09/25 Okusama ga Seitokaichou! v2
2015/09/25 Omoide no Anime Library v42
2015/09/25 ONE PIECE Log Collection ‘Shirahoshi’
2015/09/25 Overlord v1
2015/09/25 Saint Seiya -soul of gold- v3
2015/09/25 THE IDOLM@STER Cinderella Girls v5
2015/09/25 Triage X v4
2015/09/25 Yamada-kun to 7-nin no Majo v4
2015/09/25 Youkai Watch BD Box v3
2015/09/26 Arslan Senki v3
2015/09/26 Gakkou Gurashi! v1
2015/09/26 Gochuumon wa Usagi Desu ka? v3 (2015 re-release with Halloween artbox)
2015/09/26 Owari no Seraph v4
2015/09/26 To LOVE-Ru Darkness 2nd v1

This month split the heavy release weeks nice and evenly. 8 v1s in this list.

36 Responses to “2015 09/14 – 09/20 Weekly Sales List”

  1. Avatar primadog says:

    Stalker has a rather disappointing record this week. Were these titles expected to be particularly Amazon heavy? I don’t remember so many overestimates in previous seasons.

    • something something says:

      Ignoring DVD estimates, which don’t matter, BDs were:

      -25.2% – Rokka
      -19.8% – Monmusu
      -0.5% – Umaru
      18.6% – Non Non
      26.3% – Danchigai
      31.0% – Wakaba

      So it was pretty evenly split, and three of the above are low sellers (1k or less) so even slight issues in the estimates generate big percentages. The three titles with sales worth noting were within 20% either direction.

      It’s less the % off for me that makes it bad than the lack of any correlation to, well, anything else. Having a higher percentage of sales in Amazon editions didn’t equal being more overestimated, and none of the three medium-seller titles was doing dramatically at B&M than the other two.

      I really think the new normal of everything getting Amazon editions screws predictions up. And there’s no good way to fix that just as there’s no good way to incorporate other shops’ rankings.

      Still best to just think of Stalker as a ballparking tool. Staying within +/- 30% is probably the definition of success in predictions, as wide a range as that may be.

  2. Avatar rederoin says:

    Such a shame about NNB.

    Stalker estimates of next week.
    10.2k Overlord
    *6.8k To Love-Ru Darkness S2
    *5.4k Charlotte
    *3.0k Gakkou Gurashi!
    *2.7k Fate/kaleid liner S3
    *2.7k GANGSTA
    *1.7k Junjou Romantica 3
    *1.5k Gatchaman Crowds Insight.
    *0.7k Woozer S3
    *0.7k Kuusen Madoushi

  3. Avatar moodie says:

    Wow stalkers for Fate/Kaleid looks like it dropped but it would make sense going from 7k to 5k im expecting 3k i guess.

    But for this week I’m glad monster musume is one of those ecchis that break 5k mark…..well its obviously gonna drop but still, good sales.

    • Avatar Tables says:

      Isn’t Prisma always underestimated by stalker though? In fact, didn’t they just have a relatively popular event the other day in animate? Far better BD bundles as opposed to Amazon.

      • something something says:

        Ignoring DVDs (which are overestimated but only about a tenth of the total sales anyway), the BDs were underestimated 18-25% for s1 and 22-33% for s2.

        So yeah it’ll be underestimated to some extent. If we say 30% for BD, that would put total sales closer to maybe 3.5k opening week (at least once we get DVDs, which might need to wait for the extended rankings).

        Even if that should pass 4k after wk2+, the best the series can average is *probably* about 4k, if it’s as super consistent volume to volume as s2 was.

  4. Avatar Mr. Peter says:

    Is the cute girls SOL starting to bottom out? It seems to get mediocre numbers lately.

    • something something says:

      Nope, this is about how it’s always done. Remember that Gochiusa was the first cute girls/iyashikei/slice of life show in that vein to sell over 10k since K-ON!!, five years ago.

      I feel like people’s perceptions got skewed by that couple year run where KyoAni struck gold with 30-40k+ shows in Lucky Star, K-ON!, and K-ON!!. That’s a wild exception, not the norm.

  5. Avatar 37 says:

    Those NNB sales, that’s like half the sales of s1. I found S2 pretty disappointing honestly, so meh.

  6. Avatar rederoin says:

    Going by my spread sheets of speculated averages,

    15.7k -> 15.1k Kekkai sensen
    Bigger v4 drop than I expected.
    7.8k -> 7.7k Hibike
    7.4k -> 6.5k Show By Rock.
    The big drop is rather noteworthy.

    second time is the charm.

  7. Avatar Badass1182 says:

    SERIOUSLY WHAT IS DEREMAS?

  8. something something says:

    Waiting for the full rankings to get on urisure before updating (and too busy to update tonight anyway) but as far as remaining Volume 1s go, mega-bombs for Jitsu wa Watashi wa (309) and Chaos Dragon (275).

  9. Avatar AholePony says:

    Chaos Dragon deserves all the bombing it’s going to get but I really feel for Jitsu Wa. It wasn’t amazing or anything but it was cute enough and imo better than its sales are going to reflect. I guess there’s no otaku appetite for early ’00s-style Harem comedies right now?

    something, have you ever seen an article or noticed in your data how sales might be impacted by airing date or time slot for “middling” series? By this I mean things other than popular franchises. For instance, if a new NGE or Madoka series was announced, people would watch it no matter what day it’s airing but; for an original IP or something, I’m sure some days hurt more than others. Just wondering if a possibility exists that the Monday slot hurt Jitsu wa as well as Biyori Repeat (however small that effect may be).

    • something something says:

      With the prevalence of DVR, I’m going to guess the day matters very little for late night anime and time slot even less once you hit midnight. Torisunanohokori (http://animetics.net/) has done a bunch of time slot tracking but I don’t know if he’s ever equated it to sales.

    • I’ve never personally seen anything that would suggest to me that later-at-night slots were killer for a shows’ ratings. Obviously you’re asking about a smaller-level effect that might be noticeable with a lot of data. It’s tough to quantify and I wouldn’t attempt it because of all the intervening places people could also see it (the aforementioned DVR, series with multiple national stations broadcasting in the same season, nico broadcasts and the internet in general). Later-at-night timeslots do tend to get slightly worse *ratings* in general, but there are a lot of local and satellite channels which often air the same anime at different times of the day and so the slight difference (something like ~0.3 between successive hours) in ratings for one individual slot doesn’t have to correlate strongly with sales.

      In regards to shows airing late in the pack of a given season, the ones I personally recall are yuyuyu, Hyouka, and M3, 2 of which performed very strongly (one as an original IP) and 1 of which bombed to a legendary degree. Not really strong evidence for a pattern one way or the other.

      • Avatar Jim says:

        Also starting 1-2 weeks late this year were Eden of Grisaia (which has sold close to the same average as the first season, roughly 3750 vs. 4000), and Isuca (bombed, but was also a terrible show).

        If a late start hurts an anime at all, I think it probably affects its visibility more with the western fanbase. Japanese otaku are still getting commercials and previews and magazine ads and other promos to let them know a show is coming out, plus they can DVR any show they want to try (Dengeki G’s magazine had been carrying Yuki Yuna stuff for months before the show came out, for instance). Western fans aren’t being advertised to and can’t DVR anything, so we’re more dependent on word-of-mouth from other fans and reviews from blogs and aggregator sites like ANN to decide what we watch. If you’re a western fan who cherry-picks a handful of shows to stream or fansub every season, chances are you already have your lineup of shows figured out by the time the lagger comes along two weeks behind everything else, and if you have a full slate of shows you already like, you’ll probably be less inclined to pick up anything else.

        • Avatar anon says:

          Or you just wait for the show finish so you can binge watch, this is not just something that westerners do, a lot of Japanese also do that, by DVR or paying to watch online.

          • Avatar AholePony says:

            Wow all great points. I had thought about some of those but this is why I like a good discussion, get those angles I hadn’t thought of. Cheers!

    • Avatar MisaoFan says:

      Well, I personally didn’t think Chaos Dragon wasn’t that bad enough. Its early episodes and its overall pacing may not be everyone but I enjoyed quite a bit. I have yet to finish watching JitsuWata, I also found that one decent.

      Still, nothing could top Argevollen’s ungodly financial fiasco.

  10. Avatar AholePony says:

    That makes sense as well. Thanks for the link too ;-)

    For English speaking or western viewers I see on the anime site I manage a small community on; I sometimes feel like shows that debut a week or two after a season officially starts,such as where most series are 13 episodes but there’s one series that starts late and only has a 10 episode run. That late show always seems to never pick up viewership unless it gains an uncommon level of acclaim via word of mouth. It’s literally like a runt in a dog litter. This is all extremely circumstantial though, mostly my observations on forum thread counts and general chatter etc, noting scientific.

  11. Avatar mk03 says:

    >Umaru-chan v1 sells 3691/778, total 4,469. Event ticket. Definitely a sub-5k average. 0.5% underestimated BD, 17.9% overestimated DVD.

    Man this season is so slow. To think the “meme show of the season” couldn’t even do 5k.

  12. something something says:

    Finally updated with the full list. Urisure was pretty late this week.

  13. something something says:

    Checked the extended rankings for this week. About 50 DVDs and 90 BDs were new or added a week of ranking.

    Updated volume 1s
    6,397 – Working!!!
    2,474 – Shimoneta
    2,161 – Teekyuu s4
    1,113 – Okusama ga Seitokaichou
    421 – Chaos Dragon

    Updated averages for finished shows
    18,250 – Kancolle
    15,490 – Shirobako
    9,810 – Saekano
    2,161 – Teekyuu s4

    Updated BD boxes/re-releases
    9,211 – Love Live s1 (singles reprint)

    Updated films/OVAs/etc

     

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